Sha Tin · 2024-04-14 · 11:01
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-14 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. URBAN TRIUMPH, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won by N, with GANGNAM STAR second and MR GOOD VIBES third. The 3.3 favourite GOOD VIEW GLORY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | URBAN TRIUMPH H-/CP/TT 1.09.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 10 | 52.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | GANGNAM STAR P-/XB1/TT- M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 3 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | MR GOOD VIBES B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 5 | 12.0 | N |
| 4 | 11 | GOOD VIEW GLORY Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 3.3 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | PERFECT PEACH B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 11 | 9.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | RATTAN WORLD B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 6 | 8.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | THE GOOD DEAL SR-/CP2/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 1 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAT HOLLOW H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 2 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | DAILY TROPHY B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | JAZZ CLUB Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 9 | 7.3 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 7 | 40.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | GENERAL ACE CP L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 8 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 24.8% | 4.03 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | BEAT HOLLOW | 13.4% | 7.46 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | DAILY TROPHY | 10.4% | 9.60 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | MR GOOD VIBES | 9.6% | 10.46 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | JAZZ CLUB | 7.7% | 12.94 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | RATTAN WORLD | 6.7% | 15.00 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | THE GOOD DEAL | 6.6% | 15.24 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | PERFECT PEACH | 5.9% | 16.89 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | GANGNAM STAR | 5.0% | 19.85 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 3.8% | 26.00 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | URBAN TRIUMPH | 3.4% | 29.67 | 1 |
| 12 | 9 | GENERAL ACE | 2.7% | 37.65 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 525
PLACE
1 41.5
5 35
7 114
QUINELLA
1,7 4,228
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 270
1,7 895.5
5,7 689
FORECAST
7,1 6,777
TIERCE
7,1,5 53,104
TRIO
1,5,7 12,724
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 9,393
QUARTET
7,1,5,11 293,256
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/1 124.5
6/7 5,205.5