Sha Tin · 2024-04-14 · 17:13
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E/P 1.21.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 8.9 | N |
| 2 | 2 | GOLDEN ARTIE Closed strongly H-/XB B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 7 | 19.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 8 | 49.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | MY FLYING ANGEL Led early CP1 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 1 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | FOOLISH HEART Closed strongly V K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 6 | 9.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | HELENE WARRIOR Closed strongly TT1 Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 13 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | AEROINVINCIBLE SR/TT1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | AMAZING VICTORY TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 2 | 4.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE Closed strongly H/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 12 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | ONLY U CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 23.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | KARMA Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 14 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 11 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | LEEDOX B/BR/TT K De Melo · M Newnham | K De Melo | M Newnham | 9 | 99.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | YOUNG BRILLIANT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 104.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SINBA Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-14 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY FIT, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Size, won by N, with GOLDEN ARTIE second and ORIENTAL SMOKE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite AEROINVINCIBLE finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AMAZING VICTORY | 13.6% | 7.35 | 8 |
| 2 | 13 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 12.7% | 7.89 | 7 |
| 3 | 12 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 11.3% | 8.88 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | KARMA | 10.6% | 9.43 | 11 |
| 5 | 3 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK | 9.9% | 10.12 | 12 |
| 6 | 11 | ONLY U | 7.8% | 12.86 | 10 |
| 7 | 14 | FOOLISH HEART | 7.2% | 13.97 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | BEAUTY FIT | 5.6% | 17.94 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 5.3% | 18.92 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 4.4% | 22.52 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | HELENE WARRIOR | 4.3% | 23.18 | 6 |
| 12 | 2 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 3.8% | 26.47 | 2 |
| 13 | 9 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 2.2% | 45.97 | 14 |
| 14 | 5 | LEEDOX | 1.5% | 67.54 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 89
PLACE
2 59.5
8 122.5
10 30
QUINELLA
2,10 1,102
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 1,289.5
2,10 325.5
8,10 633.5
FORECAST
10,2 2,215
TIERCE
10,2,8 55,051
TRIO
2,8,10 12,219
FIRST 4
2,8,10,12 41,721
QUARTET
10,2,8,12 841,912
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
8/2 112
8/10 998