沙田 · 2024-04-14 · 11:01
第 9場
2024-04-14沙田第9場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、W Y So訓練的OWNERS' PRAISE勝出，贏出1-3/4。TOP SCORER獲得亞軍；SKY TRUST獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.2倍大熱門TOP SCORER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | OWNERS' PRAISE 後段發力 B-/TT1 1.21.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 8 | 9.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | TOP SCORER 早段領放 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 2.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SKY TRUST B/H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 8.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | CALL ME SUPREME 後段發力 B1/TT1 H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 14 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP 後段發力 CP-/B2 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 114.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | ACA POWER 後段發力 CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 36.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | JUMBO FORTUNE 後段發力 PC/XB H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 13 | 30.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | TRAVEL GOLF M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 2 | 32.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 3 | 111.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | YOUTH POWER TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 129.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | THE ABSOLUTE TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 12 | 3.6 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | NEVER PETER OUT B/TT1 K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 4 | 37.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | GOLDEN TITLE TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 10 | 50.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TOP SCORER | 27.0% | 3.71 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | THE ABSOLUTE | 11.7% | 8.58 | 12 |
| 3 | 9 | SKY TRUST | 10.0% | 10.00 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 8.6% | 11.69 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | TRAVEL GOLF | 7.3% | 13.64 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 6.8% | 14.80 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | ACA POWER | 5.9% | 16.83 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 5.9% | 17.06 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | CALL ME SUPREME | 5.5% | 18.16 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | NEVER PETER OUT | 3.9% | 25.68 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER | 2.7% | 37.68 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 2.4% | 40.92 | 5 |
| 13 | 14 | YOUTH POWER | 1.3% | 75.06 | 11 |
| 14 | 1 | GOLDEN TITLE | 1.1% | 90.36 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 91
PLACE
3 11.5
8 26.5
9 21.5
QUINELLA
3,8 111
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 42.5
3,9 35
8,9 98
FORECAST
8,3 329
TIERCE
8,3,9 1,752
TRIO
3,8,9 203
FIRST 4
3,6,8,9 525
QUARTET
8,3,9,6 16,812
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3>4,6,8/3,8,9 2,003
8TH DOUBLE
6/3 16
6/8 302