沙田 · 2024-04-20 · 05:02
第 1場
2024-04-20沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由C Y Ho策騎、C Fownes訓練的CHARMING STEED勝出，贏出2-1/2。EAGLE RUN獲得亞軍；ASIAN ONE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CHARMING STEED 後段發力 E-/V-/XB-/TT 1.39.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 4.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | EAGLE RUN TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | ASIAN ONE 後段發力 V-/XB/PC2/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 2 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | GREEN LASER 後段發力 PC/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | M M NEBULA 後段發力 PC/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 13 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | CASA LEGEND 後段發力 P/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 10 | 27.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPERB MOVE 後段發力 B/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 14 | 9.9 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | NOBLE WIN 後段發力 E/XB Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 5.6 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | ALL IS READY B/XB/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 12 | 36.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | COOL BLUE V-/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 8.1 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT 後段發力 B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 8 | 38.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CHIRON 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 11 | 14.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | V LOVE YOU 早段領放 B1/TT B Thompson · C S Shum | B Thompson | C S Shum | 9 | 58.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | ROBOT FIGHTER K De Melo · K L Man | K De Melo | K L Man | 5 | 92.0 | 25-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | NOBLE WIN | 24.3% | 4.11 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | COOL BLUE | 13.9% | 7.19 | 10 |
| 3 | 7 | ASIAN ONE | 11.1% | 8.98 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | CHARMING STEED | 10.2% | 9.81 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | M M NEBULA | 7.7% | 13.00 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | EAGLE RUN | 6.2% | 16.18 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPERB MOVE | 5.6% | 17.96 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | CHIRON | 4.7% | 21.42 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | CASA LEGEND | 4.0% | 25.02 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | ALL IS READY | 3.6% | 27.60 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | GREEN LASER | 3.5% | 28.66 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 2.9% | 34.92 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | ROBOT FIGHTER | 1.3% | 79.12 | 14 |
| 14 | 3 | V LOVE YOU | 1.1% | 90.71 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 42
PLACE
7 20.5
10 15.5
13 39
QUINELLA
10,13 250
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 45
7,13 141
10,13 98.5
FORECAST
10,13 442
TIERCE
10,13,7 2,501
TRIO
7,10,13 513
FIRST 4
7,10,13,14 1,498
QUARTET
10,13,7,14 26,757