Sha Tin · 2024-04-20 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CHARMING STEED Closed strongly E-/V-/XB-/TT 1.39.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 4.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | EAGLE RUN TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly V-/XB/PC2/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 2 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | GREEN LASER Closed strongly PC/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | M M NEBULA Closed strongly PC/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 13 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly P/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 10 | 27.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPERB MOVE Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 14 | 9.9 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E/XB Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 5.6 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | ALL IS READY B/XB/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 12 | 36.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | COOL BLUE V-/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 8.1 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 8 | 38.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CHIRON Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 11 | 14.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | V LOVE YOU Led early B1/TT B Thompson · C S Shum | B Thompson | C S Shum | 9 | 58.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | ROBOT FIGHTER K De Melo · K L Man | K De Melo | K L Man | 5 | 92.0 | 25-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-20 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CHARMING STEED, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 2-1/2, with EAGLE RUN second and ASIAN ONE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | NOBLE WIN | 24.3% | 4.11 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | COOL BLUE | 13.9% | 7.19 | 10 |
| 3 | 7 | ASIAN ONE | 11.1% | 8.98 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | CHARMING STEED | 10.2% | 9.81 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | M M NEBULA | 7.7% | 13.00 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | EAGLE RUN | 6.2% | 16.18 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPERB MOVE | 5.6% | 17.96 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | CHIRON | 4.7% | 21.42 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | CASA LEGEND | 4.0% | 25.02 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | ALL IS READY | 3.6% | 27.60 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | GREEN LASER | 3.5% | 28.66 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 2.9% | 34.92 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | ROBOT FIGHTER | 1.3% | 79.12 | 14 |
| 14 | 3 | V LOVE YOU | 1.1% | 90.71 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 42
PLACE
7 20.5
10 15.5
13 39
QUINELLA
10,13 250
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 45
7,13 141
10,13 98.5
FORECAST
10,13 442
TIERCE
10,13,7 2,501
TRIO
7,10,13 513
FIRST 4
7,10,13,14 1,498
QUARTET
10,13,7,14 26,757