Sha Tin · 2024-04-20 · 18:03
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | SKY HEART Wire to wire B1/TT 1.22.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 29.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly H/XB H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 5 | 1.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | STELLAR SWIFT TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | AMAZING DUCK CP M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 12 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | MAGNIFICENT NINE Closed strongly B1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly PC K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 14 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 4 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | CITY THUNDER Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 2 | 51.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | SMART CITY A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 91.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SATIRICAL FAN B- K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 8 | 217.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 54.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | ORIENTAL TYCOON Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 13 | 78.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-20 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SKY HEART, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with CHIU CHOW SPIRIT second and PATCH OF THETA third. The winner led throughout. The 1.9 favourite PATCH OF THETA finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PATCH OF THETA | 33.3% | 3.01 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 23.7% | 4.21 | 6 |
| 3 | 14 | SKY HEART | 7.4% | 13.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 6.8% | 14.75 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | FUN TOGETHER | 4.5% | 22.00 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 4.1% | 24.37 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | AMAZING DUCK | 3.6% | 27.57 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 3.4% | 29.63 | 14 |
| 9 | 5 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 3.3% | 29.93 | 13 |
| 10 | 10 | STELLAR SWIFT | 3.3% | 30.01 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | LET'S DO IT | 2.8% | 35.42 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | SMART CITY | 2.2% | 45.44 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | CITY THUNDER | 1.0% | 103.61 | 9 |
| 14 | 8 | SATIRICAL FAN | 0.5% | 202.70 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 120
PLACE
1 57
3 10.1
14 29
QUINELLA
1,14 1,102.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 113.5
1,14 263
3,14 40
FORECAST
14,1 1,732
TIERCE
14,1,3 5,728
TRIO
1,3,14 788
FIRST 4
1,3,10,14 2,961
QUARTET
14,1,3,10 107,844
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
4/7/1 2,377
4/7/14 11,203
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,8/1,3,14 375,147
9TH DOUBLE
7/1 377
7/14 936
SIX UP
1,10/8,11/10,11/4,6/7,8/1,14 401,880
7 [C Fownes] —
10 [A Badel] —