Sha Tin · 2024-04-20 · 08:23
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-20 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CELTIC TIMES, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W K Mo, won by HD, with JOY OF SPRING second and SMART FIGHTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite FLYING MOJITO finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT 1.35.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 11 | 11.0 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 8.7 | HD |
| 3 | 12 | SMART FIGHTER Closed strongly TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | PING HAI COMET H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 42.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly V/XB/TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 2.7 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | LAUGH TALE Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 13 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | SOARING BRONCO H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 10 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | BEER PALACE B/TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 7.4 | 3 |
| 9 | 13 | TOP TOP TEA Led early Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 7 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | C P ONE B1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 1 | 117.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | MARADO C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 5 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 2 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 102.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 2 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FLYING MOJITO | 19.1% | 5.25 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | LAUGH TALE | 14.2% | 7.05 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | SOARING BRONCO | 11.2% | 8.89 | 7 |
| 4 | 12 | SMART FIGHTER | 10.7% | 9.36 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | CELTIC TIMES | 9.0% | 11.16 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | BEER PALACE | 8.3% | 11.98 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | JOY OF SPRING | 8.3% | 12.10 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | TOP TOP TEA | 6.2% | 16.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | FOREVER FOLKS | 5.7% | 17.67 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | MARADO | 4.0% | 25.02 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 1.7% | 60.39 | 13 |
| 12 | 8 | PING HAI COMET | 1.1% | 91.27 | 4 |
| 13 | 9 | C P ONE | 0.6% | 164.87 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 119
PLACE
10 33.5
11 26
12 27
QUINELLA
10,11 557
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 172
10,12 112
11,12 119.5
FORECAST
10,11 1,234
TIERCE
10,11,12 6,032
TRIO
10,11,12 1,118
FIRST 4
8,10,11,12 6,890
QUARTET
10,11,12,8 149,405
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
11/10 5,247
11/11 568