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Sha Tin · 2024-04-20 · 15:08

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.37.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 GALVANIC Closed strongly TT 1.37.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 3 4.7 N
2 10 STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 4 14.0 N
3 8 FAST VICTORY Closed strongly B C L Chau · D A Hayes 1 9.9 1/2
4 12 KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall 10 45.0 3/4
5 7 ALL RICHES CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 8 7.2 4-1/4
6 6 G LINER H/P/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards 7 5.3 4-3/4
7 14 KEEN UNITY V/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 5 11.0 6-3/4
8 11 HIGH RISE POWER Closed strongly K De Melo · K W Lui 13 21.0 6-3/4
9 9 MAYHEM H Z Purton · F C Lor 14 10.0 7
10 4 FOREVER CHARM Led early B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 2 47.0 7-1/4
11 3 HAKKA RADIANCE P1/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo 9 42.0 8-1/4
12 5 CORDYCEPS ONE H Bentley · C H Yip 12 39.0 10-1/2
13 2 BEAR SLAM XB H Bowman · C W Chang 6 5.8 12
14 13 UP AND UP B M F Poon · C S Shum 11 126.0 14
— 0 PANDA LEGEND L Hewitson · W Y So — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. GALVANIC, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with STARSHIP EIGHTY second and FAST VICTORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALVANIC—2. STARSHIP EIGHTY+0.05L3. FAST VICTORY+0.5L4. KYRUS UNICORN+0.75L5. ALL RICHES+4.25L6. G LINER+4.75L7. KEEN UNITY+6.75L8. HIGH RISE POWER+6.75L9. MAYHEM+7L10. FOREVER CHARM+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick MAYHEM (19.9%) finished 9th — the winner GALVANIC was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 MAYHEM 19.9% 5.02 9
2 6 G LINER 11.5% 8.66 6
3 10 STARSHIP EIGHTY 10.6% 9.40 2
4 8 FAST VICTORY 9.6% 10.44 3
5 1 GALVANIC 9.5% 10.58 1
6 12 KYRUS UNICORN 9.1% 10.98 4
7 2 BEAR SLAM 7.6% 13.21 13
8 7 ALL RICHES 5.9% 17.08 5
9 5 CORDYCEPS ONE 4.6% 21.83 12
10 11 HIGH RISE POWER 3.8% 26.31 8
11 14 KEEN UNITY 3.7% 27.18 7
12 3 HAKKA RADIANCE 1.9% 54.01 11
13 13 UP AND UP 1.5% 65.76 14
14 4 FOREVER CHARM 0.9% 109.68 10
MAYHEMG LINERSTARSHIP EIGHTYFAST VICTORYGALVANIC — wonKYRUS UNICORNBEAR SLAMALL RICHESCORDYCEPS ONEHIGH RISE POWERKEEN UNITYHAKKA RADIANCEUP AND UPFOREVER CHARM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 47.5

PLACE

1 19

8 32

10 34

QUINELLA

1,10 270

QUINELLA PLACE

1,8 91

1,10 94

8,10 179.5

FORECAST

1,10 492

TIERCE

1,10,8 3,973

TRIO

1,8,10 917

FIRST 4

1,8,10,12 6,754

QUARTET

1,10,8,12 107,881

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

4/6/1 795

4/6/10 276

4TH DOUBLE

6/1 292.5

6/10 124.5