Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2024-04-20 · 07:09

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. GALVANIC, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with STARSHIP EIGHTY second and FAST VICTORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.37.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 GALVANIC Closed strongly TT 1.37.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 3 4.7 N
2 10 STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 4 14.0 N
3 8 FAST VICTORY Closed strongly B C L Chau · D A Hayes 1 9.9 1/2
4 12 KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall 10 45.0 3/4
5 7 ALL RICHES CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 8 7.2 4-1/4
6 6 G LINER H/P/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards 7 5.3 4-3/4
7 14 KEEN UNITY V/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 5 11.0 6-3/4
8 11 HIGH RISE POWER Closed strongly K De Melo · K W Lui 13 21.0 6-3/4
9 9 MAYHEM H Z Purton · F C Lor 14 10.0 7
10 4 FOREVER CHARM Led early B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 2 47.0 7-1/4
11 3 HAKKA RADIANCE P1/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo 9 42.0 8-1/4
12 5 CORDYCEPS ONE H Bentley · C H Yip 12 39.0 10-1/2
13 2 BEAR SLAM XB H Bowman · C W Chang 6 5.8 12
14 13 UP AND UP B M F Poon · C S Shum 11 126.0 14
0 PANDA LEGEND L Hewitson · W Y So

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALVANIC2. STARSHIP EIGHTY+0.05L3. FAST VICTORY+0.5L4. KYRUS UNICORN+0.75L5. ALL RICHES+4.25L6. G LINER+4.75L7. KEEN UNITY+6.75L8. HIGH RISE POWER+6.75L9. MAYHEM+7L10. FOREVER CHARM+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick MAYHEM (19.9%) finished 9th — the winner GALVANIC was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 MAYHEM 19.9% 5.02 9
2 6 G LINER 11.5% 8.66 6
3 10 STARSHIP EIGHTY 10.6% 9.40 2
4 8 FAST VICTORY 9.6% 10.44 3
5 1 GALVANIC 9.5% 10.58 1
6 12 KYRUS UNICORN 9.1% 10.98 4
7 2 BEAR SLAM 7.6% 13.21 13
8 7 ALL RICHES 5.9% 17.08 5
9 5 CORDYCEPS ONE 4.6% 21.83 12
10 11 HIGH RISE POWER 3.8% 26.31 8
11 14 KEEN UNITY 3.7% 27.18 7
12 3 HAKKA RADIANCE 1.9% 54.01 11
13 13 UP AND UP 1.5% 65.76 14
14 4 FOREVER CHARM 0.9% 109.68 10
MAYHEMG LINERSTARSHIP EIGHTYFAST VICTORYGALVANIC — wonKYRUS UNICORNBEAR SLAMALL RICHESCORDYCEPS ONEHIGH RISE POWERKEEN UNITYHAKKA RADIANCEUP AND UPFOREVER CHARM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 47.5

PLACE

1 19

8 32

10 34

QUINELLA

1,10 270

QUINELLA PLACE

1,8 91

1,10 94

8,10 179.5

FORECAST

1,10 492

TIERCE

1,10,8 3,973

TRIO

1,8,10 917

FIRST 4

1,8,10,12 6,754

QUARTET

1,10,8,12 107,881

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

4/6/1 795

4/6/10 276

4TH DOUBLE

6/1 292.5

6/10 124.5