Sha Tin · 2024-04-20 · 08:54
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-20 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SOLID IMPACT, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with LADY'S CHOICE second and IMA SINGLE MAN third. The 1.4 favourite CALL ME GLORIOUS finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SOLID IMPACT CP 1.09.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 6 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | CALL ME GLORIOUS TT1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 1.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | YOUNG ACHIEVER TT1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 5 | 9.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | PARTERRE B K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | PRAWNS ELEVEN XB/TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 3 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SEA AIR LEGEND TT1 B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 4 | 164.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUNNY DARLING V-/PC1/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 1 | 45.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 2 | 66.0 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | APOLAR FIGHTER B H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 9 | 231.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | BETTER LINK TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 12 | 75.0 | 75-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 42.5% | 2.35 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | LADY'S CHOICE | 15.2% | 6.57 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | YOUNG ACHIEVER | 13.1% | 7.61 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | SOLID IMPACT | 6.5% | 15.29 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | PRAWNS ELEVEN | 5.5% | 18.27 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 5.2% | 19.35 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | PARTERRE | 4.0% | 24.84 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | BETTER LINK | 3.2% | 31.55 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | PINS PRINCE | 2.5% | 40.06 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | SUNNY DARLING | 1.5% | 67.15 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | SEA AIR LEGEND | 0.4% | 235.83 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 0.4% | 281.29 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 121
PLACE
1 22
4 23.5
6 23.5
QUINELLA
4,6 401.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 96.5
1,6 82
4,6 68.5
FORECAST
4,6 832
TIERCE
4,6,1 4,870
TRIO
1,4,6 613
FIRST 4
1,4,6,7 107
QUARTET
4,6,1,7 6,263
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
10,11,12/1,4,6 211,095
7TH DOUBLE
10/4 2,269
10/6 223