Sha Tin · 2024-04-20 · 05:33
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-20 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUNNY DA BEST, ridden by K De Melo and trained by W Y So, won by 3, with SIXTH GENERATION second and WAR OF COURAGE third. The winner led throughout. The 3.5 favourite INVINCIBLE LUCKY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUNNY DA BEST Wire to wire TT 1.21.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly B/H/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 7 | 6.8 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | WAR OF COURAGE B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 4.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY DAILY CP/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 13 | 9.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly H1/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY Closed strongly B Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 4 | 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | 13 | VULCANUS CP- L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 1 | 77.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SUGAR BALL Closed strongly CP-/H/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 14 | 62.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | LINK Closed strongly SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 8 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | STRATHBARRY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 21.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | ROBOT MASTER SR/TT B Thompson · P C Ng | B Thompson | P C Ng | 11 | 67.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | MATSU VICTOR M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 12 | 31.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 19.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | WINNING TURN H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 3 | 58.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY | 20.5% | 4.88 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | WAR OF COURAGE | 12.3% | 8.13 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 11.0% | 9.11 | 13 |
| 4 | 12 | SUNNY DA BEST | 9.3% | 10.75 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | STRATHBARRY | 8.4% | 11.96 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | SIXTH GENERATION | 7.9% | 12.63 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPY DAILY | 6.4% | 15.56 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | WINNING TURN | 5.9% | 16.87 | 14 |
| 9 | 11 | LINK | 4.4% | 22.74 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | MATSU VICTOR | 4.1% | 24.33 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER UNICORN | 3.1% | 31.93 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | SUGAR BALL | 2.8% | 35.53 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | VULCANUS | 2.7% | 36.64 | 7 |
| 14 | 1 | ROBOT MASTER | 1.1% | 89.48 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 63
PLACE
2 24
5 17
12 24
QUINELLA
2,12 232.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 50.5
2,12 83
5,12 54
FORECAST
12,2 505
TIERCE
12,2,5 1,566
TRIO
2,5,12 257
FIRST 4
2,5,6,12 411
QUARTET
12,2,5,6 9,454
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/2 47.5
10/12 199
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,10,13/2,5,12 14,496