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Sha Tin · 2024-04-20 · 13:32

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.56
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 SUNNY DA BEST Wire to wire TT 1.21.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · W Y So 6 6.3 3
2 2 SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly B/H/TT C Y Ho · J Richards 7 6.8 3
3 5 WAR OF COURAGE B M Chadwick · K L Man 2 4.0 3-1/4
4 6 HAPPY DAILY CP/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 13 9.9 3-1/2
5 8 SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly H1/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 5 28.0 4
6 10 INVINCIBLE LUCKY Closed strongly B Z Purton · M Newnham 4 3.5 4
7 13 VULCANUS CP- L Hewitson · Y S Tsui 1 77.0 4-3/4
8 4 SUGAR BALL Closed strongly CP-/H/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo 14 62.0 5-3/4
9 11 LINK Closed strongly SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte 8 21.0 6-1/4
10 14 STRATHBARRY C L Chau · T P Yung 10 21.0 7-1/4
11 1 ROBOT MASTER SR/TT B Thompson · P C Ng 11 67.0 7-3/4
12 7 MATSU VICTOR M F Poon · K W Lui 12 31.0 8-1/4
13 3 SEIZING THE MOMENT B B Avdulla · J Size 9 19.0 9-3/4
14 9 WINNING TURN H Bentley · P F Yiu 3 58.0 10-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-20 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUNNY DA BEST, ridden by K De Melo and trained by W Y So, won by 3, with SIXTH GENERATION second and WAR OF COURAGE third. The winner led throughout. The 3.5 favourite INVINCIBLE LUCKY finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUNNY DA BEST—2. SIXTH GENERATION+3L3. WAR OF COURAGE+3.25L4. HAPPY DAILY+3.5L5. SUPER UNICORN+4L6. INVINCIBLE LUCKY+4L7. VULCANUS+4.75L8. SUGAR BALL+5.75L9. LINK+6.25L10. STRATHBARRY+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick INVINCIBLE LUCKY (20.5%) finished 6th — the winner SUNNY DA BEST was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 INVINCIBLE LUCKY 20.5% 4.88 6
2 5 WAR OF COURAGE 12.3% 8.13 3
3 3 SEIZING THE MOMENT 11.0% 9.11 13
4 12 SUNNY DA BEST 9.3% 10.75 1
5 14 STRATHBARRY 8.4% 11.96 10
6 2 SIXTH GENERATION 7.9% 12.63 2
7 6 HAPPY DAILY 6.4% 15.56 4
8 9 WINNING TURN 5.9% 16.87 14
9 11 LINK 4.4% 22.74 9
10 7 MATSU VICTOR 4.1% 24.33 12
11 8 SUPER UNICORN 3.1% 31.93 5
12 4 SUGAR BALL 2.8% 35.53 8
13 13 VULCANUS 2.7% 36.64 7
14 1 ROBOT MASTER 1.1% 89.48 11
INVINCIBLE LUCKYWAR OF COURAGESEIZING THE MOMENTSUNNY DA BEST — wonSTRATHBARRYSIXTH GENERATIONHAPPY DAILYWINNING TURNLINKMATSU VICTORSUPER UNICORNSUGAR BALLVULCANUSROBOT MASTER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 63

PLACE

2 24

5 17

12 24

QUINELLA

2,12 232.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 50.5

2,12 83

5,12 54

FORECAST

12,2 505

TIERCE

12,2,5 1,566

TRIO

2,5,12 257

FIRST 4

2,5,6,12 411

QUARTET

12,2,5,6 9,454

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

10/2 47.5

10/12 199

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

7,10,13/2,5,12 14,496