Sha Tin · 2024-04-20 · 09:29
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-20 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. C P BRAVE, ridden by A Badel and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/2, with NATURAL STORM second and FLAMING RABBIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite CHILL CHIBI finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | C P BRAVE Closed strongly V 1.47.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 3 | 7.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 1 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | FLAMING RABBIT Led early SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 3.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 7.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ALACRITY XB/CP2/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 7 | 45.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 12 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | PACKING HURRICANE B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 4 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 13 | 49.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | SWEET ENCOUNTER Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 8.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | LA CITY BLANCHE TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 6 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 11 | 40.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CHILL CHIBI | 17.4% | 5.73 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 12.2% | 8.21 | 11 |
| 3 | 7 | C P BRAVE | 12.0% | 8.30 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | FLAMING RABBIT | 11.0% | 9.09 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | THE BEST PEACH | 8.7% | 11.44 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 6.7% | 14.95 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | PACKING HURRICANE | 6.3% | 15.80 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | TURIN MASCOT | 6.2% | 16.05 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | SPEED DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.21 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | ALACRITY | 4.4% | 22.72 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 4.3% | 23.26 | 13 |
| 12 | 8 | NATURAL STORM | 3.6% | 27.43 | 2 |
| 13 | 3 | RUNNING GLORY | 2.3% | 43.87 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 77
PLACE
2 41.5
7 25.5
8 64
QUINELLA
7,8 976
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 136
2,8 516.5
7,8 269.5
FORECAST
7,8 1,632
TIERCE
7,8,2 19,157
TRIO
2,7,8 4,346
FIRST 4
2,6,7,8 2,355
QUARTET
7,8,2,6 66,550
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
4/7 1,310.5
4/8 606.5