Sha Tin · 2024-04-20 · 06:02
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-20 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SING DRAGON, ridden by K Teetan and trained by M Newnham, won by SH, with MONTA FRUTTA second and HONG KONG HALL third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SING DRAGON 1.08.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 3 | 2.0 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.5 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | HONG KONG HALL TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 56.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | VICTORY MOMENTS SR/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 2.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | REWARD SMILE P1/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 8 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | MAGNIAC V/TT E C W Wong · J Richards | E C W Wong | J Richards | 4 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT B Thompson · C S Shum | B Thompson | C S Shum | 9 | 43.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | APACHE PASS BO/XB M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 5 | 60.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | CAMPIONE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 25.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SING DRAGON | 31.0% | 3.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 22.8% | 4.38 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | REWARD SMILE | 12.2% | 8.21 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | HONG KONG HALL | 8.7% | 11.54 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | MONTA FRUTTA | 7.9% | 12.74 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | MAGNIAC | 7.1% | 14.13 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | APACHE PASS | 5.4% | 18.56 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | CAMPIONE | 2.9% | 34.22 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 2.1% | 48.17 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 20.5
PLACE
4 12
8 80
9 23
QUINELLA
4,9 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 150.5
4,9 34.5
8,9 334.5
FORECAST
4,9 110
TIERCE
4,9,8 2,235
TRIO
4,8,9 744
FIRST 4
4,5,8,9 302
QUARTET
4,9,8,5 7,213
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
12/4 117.5
12/9 71.5