沙田 · 2024-04-20 · 07:09
第 5場
2024-04-20沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由E C W Wong策騎、C Fownes訓練的GALVANIC勝出，贏出N。STARSHIP EIGHTY獲得亞軍；FAST VICTORY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GALVANIC 後段發力 TT 1.37.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 4.7 | N |
| 2 | 10 | STARSHIP EIGHTY 後段發力 PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 4 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | FAST VICTORY 後段發力 B C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 1 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | KYRUS UNICORN 後段發力 B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 45.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | ALL RICHES CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | G LINER H/P/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 7 | 5.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | KEEN UNITY V/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 5 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | HIGH RISE POWER 後段發力 K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 13 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MAYHEM H Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 14 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | FOREVER CHARM 早段領放 B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 47.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | HAKKA RADIANCE P1/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 9 | 42.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | CORDYCEPS ONE H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 12 | 39.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | BEAR SLAM XB H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 6 | 5.8 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | UP AND UP B M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 126.0 | 14 |
| — | 0 | PANDA LEGEND L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MAYHEM | 19.9% | 5.02 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | G LINER | 11.5% | 8.66 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 10.6% | 9.40 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | FAST VICTORY | 9.6% | 10.44 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | GALVANIC | 9.5% | 10.58 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | KYRUS UNICORN | 9.1% | 10.98 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAR SLAM | 7.6% | 13.21 | 13 |
| 8 | 7 | ALL RICHES | 5.9% | 17.08 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 4.6% | 21.83 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | HIGH RISE POWER | 3.8% | 26.31 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | KEEN UNITY | 3.7% | 27.18 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 1.9% | 54.01 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | UP AND UP | 1.5% | 65.76 | 14 |
| 14 | 4 | FOREVER CHARM | 0.9% | 109.68 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 47.5
PLACE
1 19
8 32
10 34
QUINELLA
1,10 270
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 91
1,10 94
8,10 179.5
FORECAST
1,10 492
TIERCE
1,10,8 3,973
TRIO
1,8,10 917
FIRST 4
1,8,10,12 6,754
QUARTET
1,10,8,12 107,881
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/6/1 795
4/6/10 276
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 292.5
6/10 124.5