沙田 · 2024-04-20 · 06:34
第 4場
2024-04-20沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、P F Yiu訓練的MULTISUPER勝出，贏出3/4。RED ELEGANCE獲得亞軍；PRINCE OF PORTY獲得季軍。4.5倍大熱門PRINCE OF PORTY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MULTISUPER B/TT 0.55.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 11 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | RED ELEGANCE B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 8 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | PRINCE OF PORTY CP/TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 4 | 4.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | CHATEAUNEUF TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER COMMANDER V2/TT2 E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 14 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | PROSECCO SR/V/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 2 | 8.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CURRAHEE H1/TT1 L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 7 | 83.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | DRACO TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | FLYING PHANTOM H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 8.3 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | FANCY STAR P-/PC1/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 13 | 136.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 5 | 103.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER TEN XB-/B/TT2 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 102.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 12 | GIMME FIVE CP1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | THE GREAT MASTER TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 25.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHATEAUNEUF | 33.0% | 3.03 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | PROSECCO | 19.8% | 5.04 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 9.2% | 10.88 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | FLYING PHANTOM | 6.2% | 16.15 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | DRACO | 6.2% | 16.16 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | RED ELEGANCE | 5.8% | 17.31 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPER COMMANDER | 3.8% | 25.99 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | MULTISUPER | 3.6% | 28.15 | 1 |
| 9 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION | 3.5% | 28.78 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | THE GREAT MASTER | 3.4% | 29.40 | 14 |
| 11 | 12 | GIMME FIVE | 2.4% | 41.78 | 13 |
| 12 | 7 | CURRAHEE | 1.8% | 55.70 | 7 |
| 13 | 11 | SUPER TEN | 0.7% | 142.72 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | FANCY STAR | 0.6% | 159.24 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 77.5
PLACE
1 18.5
5 22
6 25
QUINELLA
5,6 194
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 56
1,6 68
5,6 66.5
FORECAST
6,5 465
TIERCE
6,5,1 2,437
TRIO
1,5,6 376
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 364
QUARTET
6,5,1,3 10,211
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,9/1,5,6 40,629
3RD DOUBLE
4/5 18.5
4/6 143