沙田 · 2024-05-05 · 20:08
第 10場
2024-05-05沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的KA YING RISING勝出，贏出2-1/2。PACKING TREADMILL獲得亞軍；GORGEOUS WIN獲得季軍。頭馬以1.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KA YING RISING 1.08.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 1.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | PACKING TREADMILL SR L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | GORGEOUS WIN TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 5.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 2 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 9 | 160.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SON PAK FU BO-/B2/TT1 H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 10 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | APACHE PASS BO/XB M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 4 | 148.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 11 | 50.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | DUKE WAI V C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 6 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | WE ARE HERO V/TT B Thompson · K L Man | B Thompson | K L Man | 3 | 95.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | SEASONS WIT B-/V1/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 7 | 74.0 | 7 |
| — | 9 | REWARD SMILE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KA YING RISING | 60.8% | 1.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | GORGEOUS WIN | 15.1% | 6.63 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 5.6% | 17.91 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | PACKING TREADMILL | 4.3% | 23.38 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | SON PAK FU | 2.9% | 34.57 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 2.7% | 36.92 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | SEASONS WIT | 2.2% | 44.49 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | DUKE WAI | 2.2% | 45.92 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | APACHE PASS | 1.9% | 53.12 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | WE ARE HERO | 1.3% | 75.99 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | RISING FROM ASHES | 1.0% | 97.66 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 14
PLACE
3 19
8 10.1
11 13.5
QUINELLA
3,8 47
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 22
3,11 43
8,11 14.5
FORECAST
8,3 69
TIERCE
8,3,11 138
TRIO
3,8,11 50
FIRST 4
3,5,8,11 49
QUARTET
8,3,11,5 476
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
8/3 48
8/8,9 91