沙田 · 2024-05-05 · 20:08
第 7場
2024-05-05沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Avdulla策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BEAUTY GLORY勝出，贏出1。STORMING DRAGON獲得亞軍；ARIEL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.7倍大熱門STORMING DRAGON跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY GLORY 後段發力 CP/TT 1.21.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 13 | 71.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | STORMING DRAGON 後段發力 TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 2.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | ARIEL CP/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | TOP PEAK TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 3 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | DARING PURSUIT 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 5.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | CALL ME SUPREME B/TT H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 14 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SMILING COLLECTOR 後段發力 XB K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 10 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER LEGENDS 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 7 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | MATSU VICTOR K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 12 | 98.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | TRAVEL GOLF M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 62.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | SUPER BONUS 早段領放 B/TT B Thompson · P C Ng | B Thompson | P C Ng | 2 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 2 | MIDORI BURLY B L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 9 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | CIRCUIT BLAZING H1/P1/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 11 | 187.0 | 84-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STORMING DRAGON | 22.5% | 4.45 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | ARIEL | 13.3% | 7.50 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | DARING PURSUIT | 9.5% | 10.53 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 9.0% | 11.07 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | TOP PEAK | 8.8% | 11.36 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | CALL ME SUPREME | 7.9% | 12.61 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 5.8% | 17.21 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER LEGENDS | 5.5% | 18.09 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | BEAUTY GLORY | 4.7% | 21.45 | 1 |
| 10 | 2 | MIDORI BURLY | 4.0% | 24.76 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | TRAVEL GOLF | 3.9% | 25.67 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | SUPER BONUS | 2.8% | 35.56 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | MATSU VICTOR | 1.5% | 65.04 | 9 |
| 14 | 11 | CIRCUIT BLAZING | 0.6% | 154.15 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 712
PLACE
3 161.5
4 21
8 13.5
QUINELLA
3,8 1,089
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 489
3,8 373
4,8 41
FORECAST
3,8 3,322
TIERCE
3,8,4 23,699
TRIO
3,4,8 1,503
FIRST 4
3,4,8,12 5,387
QUARTET
3,8,4,12 218,504
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,9/3,4,8 225,027
6TH DOUBLE
2/3 5,785.5
2/8 52
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,13/2,7,9/Any Combination 14,727