沙田 · 2024-05-05 · 20:08
第 5場
2024-05-05沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的BOTTOMUPTOGETHER勝出，贏出1-1/2。MULTISUPER獲得亞軍；TALENTS SUPREMO獲得季軍。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER SR1 0.56.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 2.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | MULTISUPER B/TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 12 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | TALENTS SUPREMO CP1/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 6 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | WINNING MONEY H1/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 11 | 47.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | RUBY SAILING TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | TAIHANG SCENERY TT1 H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 13 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | FLYING DRAGON V-/XB H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 14 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | YODA'S CHOICE PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 2 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 5 | 6.8 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | GUSTY FIGHTER P/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 10 | 43.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | SOLAR UP B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 1 | 114.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | GLORIOUS EXPERT CP1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 24.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | WONDERFUL UNICORN TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 4 | 140.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 16.8% | 5.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | YODA'S CHOICE | 16.1% | 6.22 | 9 |
| 3 | 14 | SUPER AXIOM | 13.2% | 7.60 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | TAIHANG SCENERY | 10.2% | 9.82 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | MULTISUPER | 9.1% | 11.04 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 8.0% | 12.50 | 10 |
| 7 | 13 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 7.0% | 14.36 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | RUBY SAILING | 6.6% | 15.13 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | WONDERFUL UNICORN | 3.9% | 25.50 | 14 |
| 10 | 10 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 3.1% | 32.19 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | GUSTY FIGHTER | 2.0% | 50.34 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | FLYING DRAGON | 1.9% | 51.61 | 8 |
| 13 | 7 | WINNING MONEY | 1.3% | 74.20 | 4 |
| 14 | 3 | SOLAR UP | 0.8% | 123.31 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 26
PLACE
2 18.5
5 15.5
13 35.5
QUINELLA
2,5 87
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 40
2,13 115
5,13 82
FORECAST
5,2 132
TIERCE
5,2,13 1,376
TRIO
2,5,13 415
FIRST 4
2,5,7,13 2,992
QUARTET
5,2,13,7 29,898
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
7/4/2 1,080
7/4/5 4,881
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,7/2,5,13 241,680
4TH DOUBLE
4/2 52
4/5 188