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Sha Tin · 2024-05-05 · 20:08

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1000m Course B 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-05 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. BOTTOMUPTOGETHER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/2, with MULTISUPER second and TALENTS SUPREMO third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.56.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER SR1 0.56.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor 7 2.6 1-1/2
2 2 MULTISUPER B/TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu 12 5.1 1-1/2
3 13 TALENTS SUPREMO CP1/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 6 14.0 2-3/4
4 7 WINNING MONEY H1/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui 11 47.0 3
5 12 RUBY SAILING TT B Avdulla · K L Man 9 11.0 4-1/4
6 6 TAIHANG SCENERY TT1 H Bowman · C S Shum 13 20.0 4-1/4
7 14 SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 3 18.0 4-3/4
8 8 FLYING DRAGON V-/XB H Bentley · C H Yip 14 14.0 5-1/2
9 9 YODA'S CHOICE PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 2 15.0 6-1/4
10 1 CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT E C W Wong · D J Whyte 5 6.8 7-1/2
11 11 GUSTY FIGHTER P/TT A Hamelin · J Richards 10 43.0 9-1/2
12 3 SOLAR UP B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang 1 114.0 10-3/4
13 10 GLORIOUS EXPERT CP1 L Ferraris · D J Hall 8 24.0 11-1/4
14 4 WONDERFUL UNICORN TT K De Melo · W Y So 4 140.0 13-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BOTTOMUPTOGETHER2. MULTISUPER+1.5L3. TALENTS SUPREMO+2.75L4. WINNING MONEY+3L5. RUBY SAILING+4.25L6. TAIHANG SCENERY+4.25L7. SUPER AXIOM+4.75L8. FLYING DRAGON+5.5L9. YODA'S CHOICE+6.25L10. CHEVAL VALIANT+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick BOTTOMUPTOGETHER (16.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER 16.8% 5.94 1
2 9 YODA'S CHOICE 16.1% 6.22 9
3 14 SUPER AXIOM 13.2% 7.60 7
4 6 TAIHANG SCENERY 10.2% 9.82 6
5 2 MULTISUPER 9.1% 11.04 2
6 1 CHEVAL VALIANT 8.0% 12.50 10
7 13 TALENTS SUPREMO 7.0% 14.36 3
8 12 RUBY SAILING 6.6% 15.13 5
9 4 WONDERFUL UNICORN 3.9% 25.50 14
10 10 GLORIOUS EXPERT 3.1% 32.19 13
11 11 GUSTY FIGHTER 2.0% 50.34 11
12 8 FLYING DRAGON 1.9% 51.61 8
13 7 WINNING MONEY 1.3% 74.20 4
14 3 SOLAR UP 0.8% 123.31 12
BOTTOMUPTOGETHER — wonYODA'S CHOICESUPER AXIOMTAIHANG SCENERYMULTISUPERCHEVAL VALIANTTALENTS SUPREMORUBY SAILINGWONDERFUL UNICORNGLORIOUS EXPERTGUSTY FIGHTERFLYING DRAGONWINNING MONEYSOLAR UP

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 26

PLACE

2 18.5

5 15.5

13 35.5

QUINELLA

2,5 87

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 40

2,13 115

5,13 82

FORECAST

5,2 132

TIERCE

5,2,13 1,376

TRIO

2,5,13 415

FIRST 4

2,5,7,13 2,992

QUARTET

5,2,13,7 29,898

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

7/4/2 1,080

7/4/5 4,881

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,7/2,5,13 241,680

4TH DOUBLE

4/2 52

4/5 188