Sha Tin · 2024-05-05 · 20:08
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-05 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. REGENT GLORY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-3/4, with HAPPY TANGO second and EVERYONE'S VICTORY third. The 2.8 favourite HINOKAMI KAGURA finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | REGENT GLORY B 1.09.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | HAPPY TANGO B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 35.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/CP1/TT L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 3 | 9.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | JOYFUL LIFE B/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | IMPERIAL MAGEE SR/XB/TT A Atzeni · K H Ting | A Atzeni | K H Ting | 1 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 9 | 50.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | MUST GO E/PC/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 9.4 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | HINOKAMI KAGURA PC/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 7 | 2.8 | 11-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | STREET CONQUEROR B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 20.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 6 | 16.0 | 19-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SPEEDY SMARTIE TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 8 | 8.3 | 38-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | CIRCUIT ELEVEN H/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 11 | 63.0 | 58 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 17.9% | 5.57 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | MUST GO | 13.3% | 7.54 | 7 |
| 3 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 13.1% | 7.64 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 9.5% | 10.48 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | JOYFUL LIFE | 9.4% | 10.68 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | REGENT GLORY | 7.8% | 12.84 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 7.0% | 14.30 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | STREET CONQUEROR | 6.5% | 15.33 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 6.4% | 15.64 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY TANGO | 5.3% | 18.98 | 2 |
| 11 | 9 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 2.5% | 40.54 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | CIRCUIT ELEVEN | 1.4% | 72.45 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 194.5
PLACE
4 28
7 55
12 82.5
QUINELLA
7,12 2,475
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 228
4,12 362.5
7,12 647.5
FORECAST
7,12 5,226
TIERCE
7,12,4 46,183
TRIO
4,7,12 5,706
FIRST 4
4,7,10,12 6,846
QUARTET
7,12,4,10 188,049
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,10/4,7,12 329,655
2ND DOUBLE
8/7 1,231.5
8/12 259