Sha Tin · 2024-05-05 · 17:49
Race 11
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Closed strongly TT 1.22.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 12 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | SUPERB KID Closed strongly CP Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 2.4 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | CHING Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 8 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | MAGNIFICENT NINE B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 4.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | ELLIPTICAL Closed strongly B-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER GOLDI Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 5.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | SATIRICAL FAN Led early TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 146.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | GOLDEN ARTIE Closed strongly XB B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 14 | 9.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | SEA AIR LEGEND TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 190.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | KING GLORIOSO A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 4 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | WAH MAY WAI WAI H1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 31.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | GRATEFUL HEART TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 5 | 39.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 13 | 138.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 11 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-05 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TOURBILLON PRINCE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by T P Yung, won by SH, with SUPERB KID second and CHING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite SUPERB KID finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPERB KID | 55.1% | 1.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 9.0% | 11.13 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPER GOLDI | 8.3% | 11.98 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 6.3% | 15.78 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | CHING | 6.3% | 15.90 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 4.1% | 24.20 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 3.2% | 31.26 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | GRATEFUL HEART | 2.8% | 36.36 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | KING GLORIOSO | 1.9% | 53.91 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | ELLIPTICAL | 1.4% | 69.92 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 0.9% | 116.17 | 13 |
| 12 | 14 | SEA AIR LEGEND | 0.4% | 252.52 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | SATIRICAL FAN | 0.3% | 296.33 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 105
PLACE
1 36
3 11.5
5 27.5
QUINELLA
3,5 159
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 62.5
1,5 235.5
3,5 59
FORECAST
5,3 492
TIERCE
5,3,1 4,306
TRIO
1,3,5 686
FIRST 4
1,3,5,8 563
QUARTET
5,3,1,8 17,921
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
8,9/3,11 10.5
8,9/5 309
2ND TREBLE
8/8,9/3,11 41
8/8,9/5 1,662
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,9,11/1,5>3,11 6,411
SIX UP
2/3/7/8/8,9/5 8,993,003
2,7/3,8/4,7/4,8/3,8,9/3,5,11 3,858
5 [D A Hayes] —
1 [Z Purton] —