Sha Tin · 2024-05-05 · 20:08
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-05 was Class 5 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. GOLDEN FAIRY, ridden by A Badel and trained by W Y So, won by 3-1/4, with JOYFUL CHAMPION second and GREEN LASER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite JOYFUL CHAMPION finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GOLDEN FAIRY Closed strongly 2.03.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 6.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 1 | 3.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | GREEN LASER Closed strongly PC/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 3 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM H-/XB2/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 7 | 9.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | LEATHER MASTER Closed strongly B B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 10 | 50.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 7.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 5 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | COLOURFUL BARON Led early TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 3.8 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | SUNNY SHINES Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 2 | 15.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | FASTPASS SR-/XB-/B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 4 | 18.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 29.8% | 3.36 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | COLOURFUL BARON | 21.3% | 4.70 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 10.8% | 9.24 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 7.4% | 13.52 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | GREEN LASER | 6.5% | 15.49 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPERB DADDY | 6.4% | 15.57 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | DIAMOND WINNER | 6.3% | 15.84 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | FASTPASS | 4.6% | 21.67 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | SUNNY SHINES | 4.4% | 22.82 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | LEATHER MASTER | 2.6% | 38.85 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 69
PLACE
6 15.5
8 19.5
10 39.5
QUINELLA
6,8 121
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 43
6,10 80
8,10 125.5
FORECAST
8,6 275
TIERCE
8,6,10 2,832
TRIO
6,8,10 489
FIRST 4
6,7,8,10 798
QUARTET
8,6,10,7 19,360
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/6 13.5
8/8 121