Sha Tin · 2024-05-05 · 15:04
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B 1.34.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 10.0 | HD |
| 2 | 7 | MISTER DAPPER H-/SR-/XB/CP1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 7.9 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 5.4 | N |
| 4 | 6 | HOLY POWER Led early B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 8 | 37.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly XB-/V/TT- A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 5 | 7.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BIG RED L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 7 | 9.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | GOOD GOOD B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 51.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | CHILLI BABA V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 11 | 7.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | MISSION VOICE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 9.4 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 8.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | LOOKING COOL SR/V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 44.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | TIGER AND GOLD Closed strongly B B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 4 | 206.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | LAUGH TALE XB/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 14 | 7.6 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | SPONGE BABE H1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 170.0 | 16 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-05 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. AESTHETICISM, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by HD, with MISTER DAPPER second and JOY OF SPRING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.4 favourite JOY OF SPRING finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JOY OF SPRING | 17.3% | 5.78 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING MOJITO | 13.8% | 7.27 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | STRONGEST BOY | 11.3% | 8.88 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | LAUGH TALE | 10.1% | 9.88 | 13 |
| 5 | 2 | AESTHETICISM | 9.6% | 10.42 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | MISSION VOICE | 7.1% | 14.01 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | BIG RED | 6.3% | 15.91 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | CHILLI BABA | 5.9% | 16.97 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | LOOKING COOL | 5.1% | 19.43 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | MISTER DAPPER | 4.8% | 21.03 | 2 |
| 11 | 10 | GOOD GOOD | 3.9% | 25.76 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | HOLY POWER | 3.7% | 26.72 | 4 |
| 13 | 8 | SPONGE BABE | 0.6% | 166.81 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | TIGER AND GOLD | 0.5% | 195.64 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 107
PLACE
2 34
7 28.5
9 19.5
QUINELLA
2,7 437.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 149
2,9 83.5
7,9 88.5
FORECAST
2,7 915
TIERCE
2,7,9 5,295
TRIO
2,7,9 759
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 5,759
QUARTET
2,7,9,6 111,922
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/2 185.5
5/7 131