沙田 · 2024-05-19 · 08:54
第 8場
2024-05-19沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、D J Whyte訓練的STRATHPEFFER勝出，贏出1-1/2。MISSION VOICE獲得亞軍；SUPER UNICORN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門SUNNY DA BEST跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | STRATHPEFFER 後段發力 B/TT- 1.22.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | MISSION VOICE B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | SUPER UNICORN 後段發力 H/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY TOUCH 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 3.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | YOUNG HORIZON 後段發力 E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER LEGENDS B-/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 11 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | VANTASTIC CHOICE C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 13 | 51.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | SUNNY DA BEST 早段領放 TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 3.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | ISLAND GOLDEN B-/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 3 | 84.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FOOLISH HEART V K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 14 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | GOLDEN DARCI XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 5 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 1 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | D STAR B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 62.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | WINNING TURN M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 172.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LUCKY TOUCH | 18.1% | 5.54 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | SUNNY DA BEST | 15.5% | 6.47 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | CELTIC TIMES | 13.0% | 7.68 | 12 |
| 4 | 12 | YOUNG HORIZON | 10.7% | 9.35 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER UNICORN | 8.5% | 11.76 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER LEGENDS | 6.5% | 15.48 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | GOLDEN DARCI | 4.7% | 21.08 | 11 |
| 8 | 14 | STRATHPEFFER | 4.6% | 21.55 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | MISSION VOICE | 4.3% | 23.25 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 3.8% | 26.62 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | D STAR | 3.6% | 27.55 | 13 |
| 12 | 2 | FOOLISH HEART | 3.3% | 30.35 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 2.9% | 34.91 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | WINNING TURN | 0.6% | 174.22 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 173
PLACE
8 30
11 58
14 43.5
QUINELLA
11,14 1,650
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 318
8,14 235.5
11,14 440
FORECAST
14,11 3,571
TIERCE
14,11,8 29,912
TRIO
8,11,14 5,027
FIRST 4
7,8,11,14 4,883
QUARTET
14,11,8,7 186,781
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,14/8,11,14 1,200,446
7TH DOUBLE
8/11 192
8/14 731