Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2024-05-19 · 16:53

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.48
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly B/TT- 1.22.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · D J Whyte 12 17.0 1-1/2
2 11 MISSION VOICE B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham 9 20.0 1-1/2
3 8 SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 4 9.9 2-1/4
4 7 LUCKY TOUCH Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards 7 3.5 2-3/4
5 12 YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly E C W Wong · D A Hayes 10 8.4 2-3/4
6 5 SUPER LEGENDS B-/TT H Bowman · C S Shum 11 28.0 3-1/2
7 9 VANTASTIC CHOICE C L Chau · C H Yip 13 51.0 3-1/2
8 1 SUNNY DA BEST Led early TT K De Melo · W Y So 6 3.4 3-1/2
9 13 ISLAND GOLDEN B-/TT L Hewitson · K L Man 3 84.0 5-1/4
10 2 FOOLISH HEART V K C Leung · C W Chang 14 17.0 5-1/4
11 10 GOLDEN DARCI XB A Badel · D J Hall 5 14.0 6
12 4 CELTIC TIMES B/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 1 10.0 7-1/2
13 3 D STAR B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 62.0 7-3/4
14 6 WINNING TURN M F Poon · P F Yiu 2 172.0 9-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-19 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. STRATHPEFFER, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/2, with MISSION VOICE second and SUPER UNICORN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite SUNNY DA BEST finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STRATHPEFFER—2. MISSION VOICE+1.5L3. SUPER UNICORN+2.25L4. LUCKY TOUCH+2.75L5. YOUNG HORIZON+2.75L6. SUPER LEGENDS+3.5L7. VANTASTIC CHOICE+3.5L8. SUNNY DA BEST+3.5L9. ISLAND GOLDEN+5.25L10. FOOLISH HEART+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick LUCKY TOUCH (18.1%) finished 4th — the winner STRATHPEFFER was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 LUCKY TOUCH 18.1% 5.54 4
2 1 SUNNY DA BEST 15.5% 6.47 8
3 4 CELTIC TIMES 13.0% 7.68 12
4 12 YOUNG HORIZON 10.7% 9.35 5
5 8 SUPER UNICORN 8.5% 11.76 3
6 5 SUPER LEGENDS 6.5% 15.48 6
7 10 GOLDEN DARCI 4.7% 21.08 11
8 14 STRATHPEFFER 4.6% 21.55 1
9 11 MISSION VOICE 4.3% 23.25 2
10 9 VANTASTIC CHOICE 3.8% 26.62 7
11 3 D STAR 3.6% 27.55 13
12 2 FOOLISH HEART 3.3% 30.35 10
13 13 ISLAND GOLDEN 2.9% 34.91 9
14 6 WINNING TURN 0.6% 174.22 14
LUCKY TOUCHSUNNY DA BESTCELTIC TIMESYOUNG HORIZONSUPER UNICORNSUPER LEGENDSGOLDEN DARCISTRATHPEFFER — wonMISSION VOICEVANTASTIC CHOICED STARFOOLISH HEARTISLAND GOLDENWINNING TURN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 173

PLACE

8 30

11 58

14 43.5

QUINELLA

11,14 1,650

QUINELLA PLACE

8,11 318

8,14 235.5

11,14 440

FORECAST

14,11 3,571

TIERCE

14,11,8 29,912

TRIO

8,11,14 5,027

FIRST 4

7,8,11,14 4,883

QUARTET

14,11,8,7 186,781

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,8,14/8,11,14 1,200,446

7TH DOUBLE

8/11 192

8/14 731