Sha Tin · 2024-05-19 · 08:54
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-19 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. STRATHPEFFER, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/2, with MISSION VOICE second and SUPER UNICORN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite SUNNY DA BEST finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly B/TT- 1.22.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | MISSION VOICE B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY TOUCH Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 3.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER LEGENDS B-/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 11 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | VANTASTIC CHOICE C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 13 | 51.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | SUNNY DA BEST Led early TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 6 | 3.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | ISLAND GOLDEN B-/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 3 | 84.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FOOLISH HEART V K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 14 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | GOLDEN DARCI XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 5 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 1 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | D STAR B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 62.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | WINNING TURN M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 172.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LUCKY TOUCH | 18.1% | 5.54 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | SUNNY DA BEST | 15.5% | 6.47 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | CELTIC TIMES | 13.0% | 7.68 | 12 |
| 4 | 12 | YOUNG HORIZON | 10.7% | 9.35 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER UNICORN | 8.5% | 11.76 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER LEGENDS | 6.5% | 15.48 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | GOLDEN DARCI | 4.7% | 21.08 | 11 |
| 8 | 14 | STRATHPEFFER | 4.6% | 21.55 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | MISSION VOICE | 4.3% | 23.25 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 3.8% | 26.62 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | D STAR | 3.6% | 27.55 | 13 |
| 12 | 2 | FOOLISH HEART | 3.3% | 30.35 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 2.9% | 34.91 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | WINNING TURN | 0.6% | 174.22 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 173
PLACE
8 30
11 58
14 43.5
QUINELLA
11,14 1,650
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 318
8,14 235.5
11,14 440
FORECAST
14,11 3,571
TIERCE
14,11,8 29,912
TRIO
8,11,14 5,027
FIRST 4
7,8,11,14 4,883
QUARTET
14,11,8,7 186,781
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,14/8,11,14 1,200,446
7TH DOUBLE
8/11 192
8/14 731