Sha Tin · 2024-05-19 · 08:22
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-19 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. VOYAGE SAMURAI, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/2, with STUNNING PEACH second and AEROINVINCIBLE third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VOYAGE SAMURAI Wire to wire CP1 1.34.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 12 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 14 | AEROINVINCIBLE Closed strongly SR/H1/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | HELENE WARRIOR Closed strongly XB/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 7 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB-/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly CP A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | CHING Closed strongly H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 9 | 6.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | SILVER SONIC XB- L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 1 | 45.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 13 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | ELLIPTICAL TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 30.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | FIND MY LOVE TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 10 | 69.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | PERFECT PAIRING B1 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 157.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 4 | SIMPLE HEDGE PC-/B2 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 13.0 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 22.9% | 4.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 16.1% | 6.21 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | STUNNING PEACH | 9.0% | 11.09 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 7.6% | 13.19 | 14 |
| 5 | 10 | HELENE WARRIOR | 6.6% | 15.22 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | CHING | 6.1% | 16.38 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | FIND MY LOVE | 6.0% | 16.67 | 12 |
| 8 | 13 | POWERFUL WINGS | 5.6% | 17.85 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | FUN TOGETHER | 4.7% | 21.11 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 3.5% | 28.34 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | ROCKET SPADE | 3.5% | 28.87 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | SILVER SONIC | 3.3% | 30.01 | 9 |
| 13 | 5 | ELLIPTICAL | 2.6% | 38.91 | 11 |
| 14 | 12 | PERFECT PAIRING | 2.5% | 40.77 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 28.5
PLACE
1 54.5
8 14.5
14 20.5
QUINELLA
1,8 271.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 102
1,14 165
8,14 38.5
FORECAST
8,1 433
TIERCE
8,1,14 2,497
TRIO
1,8,14 570
FIRST 4
1,8,10,14 1,424
QUARTET
8,1,14,10 26,834
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
10/1 108.5
10/8 90