Sha Tin · 2024-05-19 · 07:23
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-19 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SATIRICAL GLORY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with JOY OF SPRING second and FLYING MOJITO third. The winner led throughout. The 4.3 favourite JOY OF SPRING finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SATIRICAL GLORY Wire to wire H- 1.47.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 4.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly V B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 6.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | KINGLY DEMEANOR TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 12 | 93.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | LITTLE FAIRY V2/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | CHATEAU LE PECHE B A Atzeni · K H Ting | A Atzeni | K H Ting | 3 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | CALL ME SUPREME B/TT H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 13 | 7.4 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | ME TIME Closed strongly SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | WINNING STEPS H/PC M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 10 | 26.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 4 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | PAKISTAN FRIEND P/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 23.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | PING HAI COMET H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 10.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 1 | YOUNG BRILLIANT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JOY OF SPRING | 16.9% | 5.91 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 14.8% | 6.75 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 12.9% | 7.76 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | FLYING MOJITO | 12.3% | 8.13 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | CALL ME SUPREME | 8.5% | 11.79 | 8 |
| 6 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 6.0% | 16.63 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 5.8% | 17.10 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | PING HAI COMET | 5.1% | 19.62 | 13 |
| 9 | 9 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 4.8% | 20.77 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | LITTLE FAIRY | 4.5% | 22.39 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | ME TIME | 3.8% | 26.41 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | WINNING STEPS | 3.7% | 27.22 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 0.9% | 113.38 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 44.5
PLACE
3 21
4 17.5
8 20.5
QUINELLA
4,8 121.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 56
3,8 55
4,8 49
FORECAST
8,4 197
TIERCE
8,4,3 838
TRIO
3,4,8 204
FIRST 4
3,4,8,11 691
QUARTET
8,4,3,11 10,078
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
2/8/1,4 193
2/8/8 2,847
4TH DOUBLE
8/1,4 40
8/8 567