Sha Tin · 2024-05-19 · 13:50
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly 1.21.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 3 | 6.3 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 3.6 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | WONDER KIT B A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 4 | 3.6 | N |
| 4 | 6 | SUPREME LUCKY Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 3.8 | N |
| 5 | 3 | PACKING TREADMILL Led early SR L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 2 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-19 was Class 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TAJ DRAGON, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by P C Ng, won by SH, with ATULLIBIGEAL second and WONDER KIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite ATULLIBIGEAL finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 29.1% | 3.44 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | PACKING TREADMILL | 22.0% | 4.55 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | SUPREME LUCKY | 18.5% | 5.41 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | WONDER KIT | 16.2% | 6.18 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | TAJ DRAGON | 10.2% | 9.77 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 4.0% | 24.81 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 63
PLACE
2 26.5
4 22.5
QUINELLA
2,4 99.5
FORECAST
2,4 236
TIERCE
2,4,5 712
TRIO
2,4,5 97
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 60
QUARTET
2,4,5,6 1,341
2ND DOUBLE
7/2 173
7/4 23