Sha Tin · 2024-05-19 · 14:21
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GLORY ELITE H 1.09.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 6.7 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | LUCY IN THE SKY H K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 1 | 1.8 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | SUPER BONUS B/TT B Thompson · P C Ng | B Thompson | P C Ng | 9 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | HAROLD WIN A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 2 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SOLID WIN TT1 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 7 | 32.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 6 | 8.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 5 | 41.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SPEEDY FORTUNE A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 14.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 3 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | GREAT SPIRIT B1/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 11 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | CERVIN TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 171.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | MR ENERGIA H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 12 | 122.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GLORY ELITE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K H Ting, won by 3, with LUCY IN THE SKY second and SUPER BONUS third. The 1.8 favourite LUCY IN THE SKY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 36.3% | 2.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | GLORY ELITE | 12.3% | 8.10 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER | 11.8% | 8.50 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 7.3% | 13.74 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | GREAT SPIRIT | 6.9% | 14.55 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | HAROLD WIN | 6.4% | 15.68 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 5.8% | 17.34 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 5.5% | 18.06 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | SOLID WIN | 3.4% | 29.66 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER BONUS | 2.9% | 34.41 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | MR ENERGIA | 0.9% | 115.10 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | CERVIN | 0.6% | 173.80 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 67.5
PLACE
1 10.1
8 21
11 60.5
QUINELLA
1,8 54
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 26.5
1,11 100
8,11 247.5
FORECAST
8,1 178
TIERCE
8,1,11 2,474
TRIO
1,8,11 436
FIRST 4
1,5,8,11 1,071
QUARTET
8,1,11,5 20,047
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5/1,8,11 6,161
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 21
2/8 296