Sha Tin · 2024-05-19 · 05:22
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. THE WINNABE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with SUPER INFINITY second and HAPPY FOR ALL third. The 3.7 favourite SUPER INFINITY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | THE WINNABE 1.09.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | SUPER INFINITY Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 10 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | HAPPY FOR ALL B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 5 | 3.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | YODA'S CHOICE PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 7 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | SKY SONG B-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | MIGHTY STRENGTH XB1 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 1 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 3 | 41.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | THE GREAT MASTER TT- Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 44.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | TAIHANG SCENERY TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 16.0 | 14 |
| 10 | 8 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 82.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | SAKEWIN M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 10.0 | 21-3/4 |
| — | 3 | CAMP FIRE L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER INFINITY | 20.3% | 4.93 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | THE WINNABE | 18.8% | 5.31 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 16.0% | 6.27 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | SKY SONG | 10.1% | 9.90 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | TAIHANG SCENERY | 9.4% | 10.66 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | YODA'S CHOICE | 7.6% | 13.23 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | SAKEWIN | 6.2% | 16.21 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 4.0% | 24.87 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS B | 4.0% | 25.11 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | THE GREAT MASTER | 2.9% | 34.78 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 0.8% | 118.16 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 40.5
PLACE
5 16.5
7 15
10 14.5
QUINELLA
5,7 77
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 33
5,10 34.5
7,10 30.5
FORECAST
7,5 164
TIERCE
7,5,10 416
TRIO
5,7,10 87
FIRST 4
5,7,9,10 164
QUARTET
7,5,10,9 2,687
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/3,5 51
3/7 357
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,5/3,5,7,10 11,202