沙田 · 2024-05-19 · 05:22
第 2場
2024-05-19沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、J Size訓練的THE WINNABE勝出，贏出1/2。SUPER INFINITY獲得亞軍；HAPPY FOR ALL獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門SUPER INFINITY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | THE WINNABE 1.09.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | SUPER INFINITY Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 10 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | HAPPY FOR ALL B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 5 | 3.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | YODA'S CHOICE PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 7 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | SKY SONG B-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | MIGHTY STRENGTH XB1 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 1 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 3 | 41.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | THE GREAT MASTER TT- Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 44.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | TAIHANG SCENERY TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 16.0 | 14 |
| 10 | 8 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 82.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | SAKEWIN M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 10.0 | 21-3/4 |
| — | 3 | CAMP FIRE L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER INFINITY | 20.3% | 4.93 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | THE WINNABE | 18.8% | 5.31 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 16.0% | 6.27 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | SKY SONG | 10.1% | 9.90 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | TAIHANG SCENERY | 9.4% | 10.66 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | YODA'S CHOICE | 7.6% | 13.23 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | SAKEWIN | 6.2% | 16.21 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 4.0% | 24.87 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS B | 4.0% | 25.11 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | THE GREAT MASTER | 2.9% | 34.78 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 0.8% | 118.16 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 40.5
PLACE
5 16.5
7 15
10 14.5
QUINELLA
5,7 77
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 33
5,10 34.5
7,10 30.5
FORECAST
7,5 164
TIERCE
7,5,10 416
TRIO
5,7,10 87
FIRST 4
5,7,9,10 164
QUARTET
7,5,10,9 2,687
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
3/3,5 51
3/7 357
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,5/3,5,7,10 11,202