沙田 · 2024-05-19 · 09:29
第 9場
2024-05-19沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、M Newnham訓練的FULL CREDIT勝出，贏出1/2。LADY'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；MAGNIFICENT NINE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FULL CREDIT 1.09.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 2.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 6 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | MAGNIFICENT NINE B/E1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER JOY N FUN C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | LUCKY EIGHT TT- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 10 | 9.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | CAPTAIN WIN B A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 9 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | MOJAVE DESERT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 7 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | CONTI CONTI TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 95.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | WINNING DAY C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 60.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | WRITTEN CASA B1/TT1 B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 2 | 59.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FULL CREDIT | 21.0% | 4.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 16.9% | 5.91 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 13.2% | 7.56 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 12.8% | 7.84 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE | 9.2% | 10.82 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | MOJAVE DESERT | 7.2% | 13.98 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 6.9% | 14.53 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | CAPTAIN WIN | 4.2% | 23.65 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | WINNING DAY | 3.7% | 26.95 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY EIGHT | 2.4% | 40.82 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | WRITTEN CASA | 1.9% | 52.69 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | CONTI CONTI | 0.5% | 198.71 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 26
PLACE
3 20
4 12.5
6 17.5
QUINELLA
3,4 83.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 34
3,6 51
4,6 29
FORECAST
4,3 125
TIERCE
4,3,6 355
TRIO
3,4,6 86
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 105
QUARTET
4,3,6,5 1,233
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
14/3 197
14/4 625