Sha Tin · 2024-05-19 · 09:29
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-19 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FULL CREDIT, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by M Newnham, won by 1/2, with LADY'S CHOICE second and MAGNIFICENT NINE third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FULL CREDIT 1.09.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 2.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE B/H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 6 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | MAGNIFICENT NINE B/E1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER JOY N FUN C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | LUCKY EIGHT TT- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 10 | 9.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | CAPTAIN WIN B A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 9 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | MOJAVE DESERT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 7 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | CONTI CONTI TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 95.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | WINNING DAY C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 60.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | WRITTEN CASA B1/TT1 B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 2 | 59.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FULL CREDIT | 21.0% | 4.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 16.9% | 5.91 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 13.2% | 7.56 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 12.8% | 7.84 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE | 9.2% | 10.82 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | MOJAVE DESERT | 7.2% | 13.98 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 6.9% | 14.53 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | CAPTAIN WIN | 4.2% | 23.65 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | WINNING DAY | 3.7% | 26.95 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY EIGHT | 2.4% | 40.82 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | WRITTEN CASA | 1.9% | 52.69 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | CONTI CONTI | 0.5% | 198.71 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 26
PLACE
3 20
4 12.5
6 17.5
QUINELLA
3,4 83.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 34
3,6 51
4,6 29
FORECAST
4,3 125
TIERCE
4,3,6 355
TRIO
3,4,6 86
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 105
QUARTET
4,3,6,5 1,233
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
14/3 197
14/4 625