Sha Tin · 2024-05-19 · 07:52
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-19 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SKY TRUST, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with ARIEL second and MEEPMEEP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SKY TRUST Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.22.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 2.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | ARIEL Closed strongly CP/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 6 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | MEEPMEEP Closed strongly B1/TT1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 3 | 8.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | THE ABSOLUTE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 8 | 9.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | VULCANUS Closed strongly B Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 13 | 84.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GREAT ACHIEVER B-/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 40.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | WAR OF COURAGE B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 14 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | HOSS Closed strongly B/XB/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly B1/TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 90.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | STARMEN TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 7 | 132.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | HIGH RISE POWER Led early L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 41.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | GRAND CONQUEROR Closed strongly CP- A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 5 | 199.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 10 | 45.0 | 16-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MEEPMEEP | 23.6% | 4.23 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | SKY TRUST | 22.3% | 4.49 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | ARIEL | 11.8% | 8.49 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 6.5% | 15.34 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | WAR OF COURAGE | 6.5% | 15.42 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | THE ABSOLUTE | 5.7% | 17.57 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | RUN RUN COOL | 5.0% | 19.81 | 14 |
| 8 | 13 | HOSS | 3.9% | 25.62 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | AMAZING AWARD | 3.8% | 26.26 | 10 |
| 10 | 14 | HIGH RISE POWER | 3.6% | 27.49 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | GREAT ACHIEVER | 3.0% | 33.85 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | VULCANUS | 2.1% | 47.12 | 6 |
| 13 | 8 | STARMEN | 1.5% | 65.43 | 11 |
| 14 | 9 | GRAND CONQUEROR | 0.6% | 157.57 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 24
PLACE
3 20
6 21.5
10 12
QUINELLA
3,10 74.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 62
3,10 31.5
6,10 37
FORECAST
10,3 116
TIERCE
10,3,6 534
TRIO
3,6,10 146
FIRST 4
3,4,6,10 169
QUARTET
10,3,6,4 2,264
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4,8/3,6,10 1,939
5TH DOUBLE
8/3 50.5
8/10 170.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,8,11/1,3,4,8/3,6,10 128,712
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,8,11/1,3,4,8/Any Combination 1,427