Sha Tin · 2024-05-19 · 18:02
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly H/XB 1.22.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 9 | 3.7 | HD |
| 2 | 13 | SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.6 | HD |
| 3 | 14 | LOST CHILD Closed strongly B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 3 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SKY HEART B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 5 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | HYPER DRAGON BALL Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 108.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | AMAZING DUCK CP-/V1 M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 12 | 22.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | YOUNG ACHIEVER Closed strongly TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 8.1 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 24.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly CP1/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 4 | 20.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | KEMPES Closed strongly K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 8 | 77.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | EIGHTEEN PALMS B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 14 | 91.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | LOYAL BO BO Led early SR K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 3.9 | 15-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | BEAUTY THUNDER TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 13 | 144.0 | 18-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-19 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PATCH OF THETA, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with SUNLIGHT POWER second and LOST CHILD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | YOUNG ACHIEVER | 21.1% | 4.73 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | PATCH OF THETA | 17.5% | 5.71 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | SKY HEART | 12.3% | 8.13 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | LOYAL BO BO | 9.9% | 10.13 | 13 |
| 5 | 13 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 9.1% | 10.94 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 5.3% | 18.78 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | KEMPES | 5.3% | 19.05 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | STELLAR SWIFT | 4.4% | 22.56 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 3.7% | 27.20 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | AMAZING DUCK | 3.1% | 31.98 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | BEAUTY GLORY | 2.9% | 34.03 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | HYPER DRAGON BALL | 1.9% | 51.82 | 6 |
| 13 | 11 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 1.7% | 59.32 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | LOST CHILD | 1.7% | 59.73 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 37
PLACE
4 16
13 19
14 50.5
QUINELLA
4,13 94.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,13 39
4,14 115
13,14 171.5
FORECAST
4,13 198
TIERCE
4,13,14 1,994
TRIO
4,13,14 583
FIRST 4
1,4,13,14 2,047
QUARTET
4,13,14,1 22,185
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
14/4/4 2,803
14/4/13 817
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,6/4,13,14 7,433
9TH DOUBLE
4/4 70
4/13 25
SIX UP
1,4,8/3,10/1,8/11,14/3,4/4,13 6,253
8/10/8/14/4/4 82,934
12 [M Newnham] —
1 [Z Purton] —