Sha Tin · 2024-05-19 · 04:50
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-19 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MR GOOD VIBES, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with TACTICAL COMMAND second and COMMANDING MISSILE third. The 4.6 favourite COLONEL finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MR GOOD VIBES B 1.09.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 10 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 3 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | COMMANDING MISSILE C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | COLONEL V E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 7 | 4.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | JAZZ CLUB B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 9 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY TANGO B Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | HAPPILY FRIENDS TT- M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | KING INVINCIBLE B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | THE GOOD DEAL CP/TT B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 1 | 9.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | MULTIMORE B-/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 8 | 38.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | GREAT DAYS H-/P-/XB/B2/TT1 A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 11 | 9.5 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | RATTAN WORLD K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | — | — | — |
| — | 9 | GOOD VIEW GLORY Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 14.5% | 6.90 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | MR GOOD VIBES | 13.8% | 7.27 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | KING INVINCIBLE | 13.2% | 7.60 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | COLONEL | 11.3% | 8.86 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 10.1% | 9.95 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY TANGO | 9.7% | 10.30 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | JAZZ CLUB | 8.3% | 11.98 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | THE GOOD DEAL | 5.3% | 18.94 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | MULTIMORE | 5.3% | 18.97 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 4.5% | 22.35 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | GREAT DAYS | 4.2% | 23.84 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 66
PLACE
3 22
4 20.5
5 29.5
QUINELLA
3,4 206.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 71.5
3,5 103
4,5 124
FORECAST
3,4 426
TIERCE
3,4,5 3,279
TRIO
3,4,5 607
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 433
QUARTET
3,4,5,1 11,063