沙田 · 2024-05-19 · 07:23
第 5場
2024-05-19沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的SATIRICAL GLORY勝出，贏出1-1/2。JOY OF SPRING獲得亞軍；FLYING MOJITO獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.3倍大熱門JOY OF SPRING跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SATIRICAL GLORY 一路領先 H- 1.47.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 4.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | JOY OF SPRING 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | FLYING MOJITO 後段發力 V B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 6.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | KINGLY DEMEANOR TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 12 | 93.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | LITTLE FAIRY V2/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | CHATEAU LE PECHE B A Atzeni · K H Ting | A Atzeni | K H Ting | 3 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | CALL ME SUPREME B/TT H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 13 | 7.4 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | ME TIME 後段發力 SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | WINNING STEPS H/PC M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 10 | 26.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ROMANTIC FANTASY 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 4 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | PAKISTAN FRIEND P/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 23.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | PING HAI COMET H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 10.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 1 | YOUNG BRILLIANT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JOY OF SPRING | 16.9% | 5.91 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 14.8% | 6.75 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 12.9% | 7.76 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | FLYING MOJITO | 12.3% | 8.13 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | CALL ME SUPREME | 8.5% | 11.79 | 8 |
| 6 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 6.0% | 16.63 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 5.8% | 17.10 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | PING HAI COMET | 5.1% | 19.62 | 13 |
| 9 | 9 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 4.8% | 20.77 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | LITTLE FAIRY | 4.5% | 22.39 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | ME TIME | 3.8% | 26.41 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | WINNING STEPS | 3.7% | 27.22 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 0.9% | 113.38 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 44.5
PLACE
3 21
4 17.5
8 20.5
QUINELLA
4,8 121.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 56
3,8 55
4,8 49
FORECAST
8,4 197
TIERCE
8,4,3 838
TRIO
3,4,8 204
FIRST 4
3,4,8,11 691
QUARTET
8,4,3,11 10,078
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
2/8/1,4 193
2/8/8 2,847
4TH DOUBLE
8/1,4 40
8/8 567