沙田 · 2024-05-26 · 06:18
第 4場
2024-05-26沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的BOTTOMUPTOGETHER勝出，贏出1-1/4。AURORA LADY獲得亞軍；SUPER AXIOM獲得季軍。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER SR 0.56.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | AURORA LADY B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 5 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | METRO WARRIOR B K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 10 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | MY WISH L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 13 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | MULTISUPER B/TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | RED ELEGANCE B A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | RAGNARR XB1/TT- H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 6 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CIRCUIT VICTORY M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | PROSECCO SR/V/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | WINNING MONEY H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | NEVER PETER OUT CP/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 9 | 292.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | FLYING DRAGON XB H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 7 | 46.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | MOLLY'S WITNESS P-/CP1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 14 | 172.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 53.4% | 1.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | RED ELEGANCE | 6.9% | 14.56 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | MULTISUPER | 6.6% | 15.14 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | RAGNARR | 5.0% | 20.13 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | PROSECCO | 4.8% | 20.71 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | AURORA LADY | 4.4% | 22.54 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | SUPER AXIOM | 4.4% | 22.72 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | METRO WARRIOR | 3.6% | 27.56 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | WINNING MONEY | 3.0% | 33.07 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | MY WISH | 2.7% | 36.82 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 2.5% | 39.30 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | FLYING DRAGON | 1.9% | 53.48 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | NEVER PETER OUT | 0.5% | 211.43 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | MOLLY'S WITNESS | 0.2% | 402.31 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 20.5
PLACE
1 13
5 39
13 59
QUINELLA
1,5 165.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 71
1,13 93.5
5,13 430.5
FORECAST
1,5 258
TIERCE
1,5,13 3,467
TRIO
1,5,13 1,023
FIRST 4
1,3,5,13 4,098
QUARTET
1,5,13,3 49,656
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,11/1,5,13 282,189
3RD DOUBLE
9/1 250.5
9/5 197