沙田 · 2024-05-26 · 07:17
第 5場
2024-05-26沙田第5場,Class 4,途程1200米,跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的DIVANO勝出,贏出3/4。MASTER MASTERMIND獲得亞軍;PARTERRE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DIVANO TT 1.09.02 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 1.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | MASTER MASTERMIND TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | PARTERRE B L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 8 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | BALLISTIC WIN B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 4 | 58.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 13 | GANGNAM STAR XB M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 14 | 35.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | YUEN LONG ELITE A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 7 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | DRAGON JOY K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 13 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPER CHARIZZARD P1 A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 11 | 70.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | EMBRACES TT C L Chau · J Richards | C L Chau | J Richards | 6 | 7.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | STORM LEGEND K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 51.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | CIRCUIT MAXIMUS TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 9 | 46.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | CALIFORNIA ICON V-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 137.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | TELECOM BULLET B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 309.0 | 18-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DIVANO | 32.5% | 3.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | DRAGON JOY | 17.0% | 5.87 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | MASTER MASTERMIND | 11.2% | 8.92 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | EMBRACES | 8.3% | 11.98 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | LUCKY PLANET | 7.5% | 13.39 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | PARTERRE | 4.6% | 21.71 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | YUEN LONG ELITE | 4.3% | 23.17 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | STORM LEGEND | 3.8% | 26.26 | 11 |
| 9 | 13 | GANGNAM STAR | 2.7% | 36.72 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 2.3% | 42.83 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 2.0% | 49.26 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | BALLISTIC WIN | 1.9% | 51.80 | 4 |
| 13 | 5 | CIRCUIT MAXIMUS | 1.3% | 74.35 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | TELECOM BULLET | 0.4% | 278.73 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 17.5
PLACE
1 11
2 43
7 18
QUINELLA
1,7 52.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 58
1,7 25.5
2,7 132
FORECAST
1,7 74
TIERCE
1,7,2 687
TRIO
1,2,7 258
FIRST 4
1,2,7,9 1,642
QUARTET
1,7,2,9 12,288
全部彩池(另 2 項)
1ST TREBLE
9/1/1 723
9/1/7 443
4TH DOUBLE
1/1 40
1/7 27