Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2024-05-26 · 07:17

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-26 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. DIVANO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with MASTER MASTERMIND second and PARTERRE third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.02
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 DIVANO TT 1.09.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui 1 1.7 3/4
2 7 MASTER MASTERMIND TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 2 5.7 3/4
3 2 PARTERRE B L Hewitson · W Y So 8 20.0 1
4 9 BALLISTIC WIN B Thompson · T P Yung 4 58.0 1
5 13 GANGNAM STAR XB M Chadwick · P C Ng 14 35.0 1-1/4
6 8 YUEN LONG ELITE A Atzeni · K L Man 7 18.0 2
7 11 LUCKY PLANET B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 5 11.0 2-1/4
8 6 DRAGON JOY K Teetan · P F Yiu 13 27.0 2-3/4
9 10 SUPER CHARIZZARD P1 A Badel · M Newnham 11 70.0 4
10 4 EMBRACES TT C L Chau · J Richards 6 7.7 4-1/2
11 3 STORM LEGEND K H Chan · C Fownes 3 51.0 4-1/2
12 5 CIRCUIT MAXIMUS TT K C Leung · C S Shum 9 46.0 6-1/2
13 12 CALIFORNIA ICON V-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 137.0 9-1/4
14 14 TELECOM BULLET B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui 12 309.0 18-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DIVANO2. MASTER MASTERMIND+0.75L3. PARTERRE+1L4. BALLISTIC WIN+1L5. GANGNAM STAR+1.25L6. YUEN LONG ELITE+2L7. LUCKY PLANET+2.25L8. DRAGON JOY+2.75L9. SUPER CHARIZZARD+4L10. EMBRACES+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick DIVANO (32.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 DIVANO 32.5% 3.08 1
2 6 DRAGON JOY 17.0% 5.87 8
3 7 MASTER MASTERMIND 11.2% 8.92 2
4 4 EMBRACES 8.3% 11.98 10
5 11 LUCKY PLANET 7.5% 13.39 7
6 2 PARTERRE 4.6% 21.71 3
7 8 YUEN LONG ELITE 4.3% 23.17 6
8 3 STORM LEGEND 3.8% 26.26 11
9 13 GANGNAM STAR 2.7% 36.72 5
10 12 CALIFORNIA ICON 2.3% 42.83 13
11 10 SUPER CHARIZZARD 2.0% 49.26 9
12 9 BALLISTIC WIN 1.9% 51.80 4
13 5 CIRCUIT MAXIMUS 1.3% 74.35 12
14 14 TELECOM BULLET 0.4% 278.73 14
DIVANO — wonDRAGON JOYMASTER MASTERMINDEMBRACESLUCKY PLANETPARTERREYUEN LONG ELITESTORM LEGENDGANGNAM STARCALIFORNIA ICONSUPER CHARIZZARDBALLISTIC WINCIRCUIT MAXIMUSTELECOM BULLET

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 17.5

PLACE

1 11

2 43

7 18

QUINELLA

1,7 52.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 58

1,7 25.5

2,7 132

FORECAST

1,7 74

TIERCE

1,7,2 687

TRIO

1,2,7 258

FIRST 4

1,2,7,9 1,642

QUARTET

1,7,2,9 12,288

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

9/1/1 723

9/1/7 443

4TH DOUBLE

1/1 40

1/7 27