Sha Tin · 2024-05-26 · 04:48
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-26 was Griffin over 1200m, run on GOOD going. THUNDER BLINK, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with SANTORINI second and RUN YES RUN third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | THUNDER BLINK 1.09.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 5 | 2.5 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | SANTORINI CP1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 7.1 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | RUN YES RUN CP M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 7 | 9.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | PATCH OF COSMO L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 10 | 112.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE CP/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 28.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON CP1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | LA FORZA CP/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 3.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | CONCORDE STAR TT1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 93.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | CALIFORNIA BANNER CP/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 8 | 159.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | SUPREME WINNER B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 3 | 166.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | ETALON OR A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 14 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LORD OF THE ROSE K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 9 | 227.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | SMART ZIPANG B1/TT1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 12 | 166.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | WORLD HERO A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 13 | 30.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LA FORZA | 37.9% | 2.64 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | THUNDER BLINK | 18.2% | 5.51 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | SANTORINI | 11.6% | 8.64 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON | 6.1% | 16.38 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 5.2% | 19.23 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | WORLD HERO | 4.7% | 21.11 | 14 |
| 7 | 12 | RUN YES RUN | 4.7% | 21.42 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | ETALON OR | 4.0% | 24.96 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | PATCH OF COSMO | 3.0% | 33.66 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | SMART ZIPANG | 2.4% | 42.35 | 13 |
| 11 | 9 | CONCORDE STAR | 0.7% | 135.18 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | CALIFORNIA BANNER | 0.7% | 138.51 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | SUPREME WINNER | 0.4% | 233.23 | 10 |
| 14 | 5 | LORD OF THE ROSE | 0.4% | 253.14 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 25.5
PLACE
1 12.5
7 18.5
12 24.5
QUINELLA
1,7 99
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 35
1,12 43.5
7,12 62
FORECAST
1,7 167
TIERCE
1,7,12 639
TRIO
1,7,12 149
FIRST 4
1,7,11,12 2,467
QUARTET
1,7,12,11 19,386