Sha Tin · 2024-05-26 · 17:04
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B 1.35.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 165.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly B/XB H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 14 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly CP K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 7.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 12 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | DARING PURSUIT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | MISTER DAPPER CP/XB H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | GOOD GOOD B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 53.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | NORTHERN BEAST M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | MARADO Closed strongly C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 9 | 62.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | CHILLI BABA V A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE Closed strongly CP-/TT2 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 5 | 84.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | SOARING BRONCO Led early A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 11 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 8 | CIRCUIT FIERY Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 8.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | SMILING TIME V/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 44.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-26 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BRIGHT INHERITANCE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with TALENTS AMBITION second and JOYFUL PROSPERITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite CALIFORNIATOTALITY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 18.8% | 5.31 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | MISTER DAPPER | 13.1% | 7.61 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 12.3% | 8.15 | 13 |
| 4 | 5 | DARING PURSUIT | 9.6% | 10.42 | 5 |
| 5 | 14 | CHILLI BABA | 9.6% | 10.45 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 9.4% | 10.65 | 3 |
| 7 | 13 | NORTHERN BEAST | 7.8% | 12.84 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | TALENTS AMBITION | 7.7% | 13.05 | 2 |
| 9 | 10 | SOARING BRONCO | 3.1% | 32.08 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | MARADO | 2.5% | 40.71 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | SMILING TIME | 2.3% | 42.77 | 14 |
| 12 | 9 | GOOD GOOD | 2.2% | 45.92 | 7 |
| 13 | 12 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 1.2% | 84.00 | 11 |
| 14 | 1 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 0.5% | 219.73 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 1,650
PLACE
1 307
4 43.5
11 27
QUINELLA
1,4 11,266
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 2,757
1,11 1,359
4,11 176
FORECAST
1,4 16,692
TIERCE
1,4,11 150,559
TRIO
1,4,11 17,955
FIRST 4
1,2,4,11 16,646
QUARTET
1,4,11,2 845,739
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/1,4,11 204,866
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 936.5
1/4 36