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Sha Tin · 2024-05-26 · 09:39

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-26 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CALL ME GLORIOUS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-1/4, with LITTLE BROSE second and SOLID IMPACT third. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.08.69
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 CALL ME GLORIOUS TT- 1.08.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui 9 1.5 2-1/4
2 1 LITTLE BROSE CP-/TT1 H Bowman · D A Hayes 3 9.0 2-1/4
3 3 SOLID IMPACT CP A Badel · D J Hall 5 10.0 2-3/4
4 13 BEAUTY MISSILE PC A Hamelin · F C Lor 11 12.0 3
5 5 PRESTIGE ALWAYS B1 K Teetan · P C Ng 1 17.0 3
6 12 NEBRASKAN PC M F Poon · J Size 8 106.0 3-1/2
7 7 PRAWNS ELEVEN XB/TT H Bentley · M Newnham 10 21.0 4-1/2
8 6 PHOENIX LIGHT H A Atzeni · C H Yip 12 23.0 6
9 11 HAPPY DAY B/TT K De Melo · J Richards 13 137.0 6-1/4
10 2 WINNING ICEY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 14 63.0 6-1/2
11 14 TELECOM POWER B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 6 213.0 10-1/4
12 8 PULSAR STRIDER B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung 2 45.0 10-1/2
13 4 TOY SOLTERO SR B Thompson · C W Chang 7 111.0 11-1/4
14 10 CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 26.0 21-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CALL ME GLORIOUS2. LITTLE BROSE+2.25L3. SOLID IMPACT+2.75L4. BEAUTY MISSILE+3L5. PRESTIGE ALWAYS+3L6. NEBRASKAN+3.5L7. PRAWNS ELEVEN+4.5L8. PHOENIX LIGHT+6L9. HAPPY DAY+6.25L10. WINNING ICEY+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick CALL ME GLORIOUS (46.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 CALL ME GLORIOUS 46.9% 2.13 1
2 3 SOLID IMPACT 11.3% 8.86 3
3 6 PHOENIX LIGHT 7.9% 12.73 8
4 2 WINNING ICEY 6.5% 15.35 10
5 5 PRESTIGE ALWAYS 6.1% 16.38 5
6 13 BEAUTY MISSILE 4.7% 21.24 4
7 10 CAMPIONE 3.5% 28.70 14
8 7 PRAWNS ELEVEN 3.4% 29.15 7
9 1 LITTLE BROSE 2.3% 43.79 2
10 11 HAPPY DAY 2.1% 48.30 9
11 8 PULSAR STRIDER 2.0% 49.55 12
12 12 NEBRASKAN 2.0% 49.71 6
13 4 TOY SOLTERO 0.9% 110.58 13
14 14 TELECOM POWER 0.4% 253.82 11
CALL ME GLORIOUS — wonSOLID IMPACTPHOENIX LIGHTWINNING ICEYPRESTIGE ALWAYSBEAUTY MISSILECAMPIONEPRAWNS ELEVENLITTLE BROSEHAPPY DAYPULSAR STRIDERNEBRASKANTOY SOLTEROTELECOM POWER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 15

PLACE

1 21.5

3 19

9 10.1

QUINELLA

1,9 60

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 78.5

1,9 27

3,9 24

FORECAST

9,1 78

TIERCE

9,1,3 280

TRIO

1,3,9 117

FIRST 4

1,3,9,13 163

QUARTET

9,1,3,13 1,450

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

1/1 1,760.5

1/9 2,857