Sha Tin · 2024-05-26 · 05:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-26 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SMART BEAUTY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-3/4, with SPEEDSTAR second and JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.35.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | SPEEDSTAR Closed strongly B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP Closed strongly B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 8 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 6 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 13 | 61.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | RIGHT HONOURABLE B/XB B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 4 | 35.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | STAR OF GLORY Led early B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 2 | 4.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | BROTHER PEARL Closed strongly CP- A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | AROMATICA TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 11 | 60.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | SUNNY BABY A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 7 | 37.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | SPLENDID STAR TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 33.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 14 | 57.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | LADY BILLIE H/P M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 104.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | LOOKING COOL V-/SR/B1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 17.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY | 27.7% | 3.60 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 15.2% | 6.59 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | SPEEDSTAR | 9.0% | 11.10 | 2 |
| 4 | 13 | STAR OF GLORY | 7.6% | 13.08 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | MEDIC ELITE | 7.6% | 13.08 | 4 |
| 6 | 14 | BROTHER PEARL | 6.9% | 14.52 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | SPLENDID STAR | 6.1% | 16.48 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.7% | 21.27 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | LOOKING COOL | 4.3% | 23.07 | 14 |
| 10 | 4 | SUNNY BABY | 3.9% | 25.40 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 2.5% | 40.19 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | AROMATICA | 1.9% | 52.38 | 9 |
| 13 | 8 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 1.6% | 61.37 | 6 |
| 14 | 1 | LADY BILLIE | 0.8% | 119.83 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 40
PLACE
2 16.5
9 19.5
10 16
QUINELLA
9,10 119.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 58.5
2,10 38.5
9,10 46.5
FORECAST
10,9 190
TIERCE
10,9,2 951
TRIO
2,9,10 187
FIRST 4
2,6,9,10 605
QUARTET
10,9,2,6 10,425
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/9 61
1/10 107
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,12/2,9,10 4,763