Sha Tin · 2024-05-26 · 13:45
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | AWESOME FLUKE Closed strongly P/TT 2.01.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 11 | 9.4 | N |
| 2 | 11 | EIGHTEEN CARAT Closed strongly B- A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 5.3 | N |
| 3 | 4 | PACKING HURRICANE Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SAMARKAND Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 7 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | WINNING DRAGON B-/H-/V1/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | TURIN MASCOT PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | ILLUMINOUS Closed strongly V Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | BOURBONAIRE H H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 9.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | HOLY LAKE Led early B/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 4.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | BRAVEHEARTS B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 1 | 54.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | NATURAL STORM B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-26 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. AWESOME FLUKE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with EIGHTEEN CARAT second and PACKING HURRICANE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite ILLUMINOUS finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ILLUMINOUS | 26.3% | 3.80 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | HOLY LAKE | 18.8% | 5.33 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | BOURBONAIRE | 12.6% | 7.95 | 8 |
| 4 | 11 | EIGHTEEN CARAT | 10.0% | 10.02 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | TURIN MASCOT | 6.8% | 14.67 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | AWESOME FLUKE | 5.9% | 16.91 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | PACKING HURRICANE | 5.5% | 18.21 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | SAMARKAND | 4.8% | 20.96 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | WINNING DRAGON | 3.6% | 28.16 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | NATURAL STORM | 3.2% | 30.79 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | BRAVEHEARTS | 2.6% | 38.59 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 94.5
PLACE
4 44.5
9 28.5
11 18
QUINELLA
9,11 220.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 257
4,11 152
9,11 80.5
FORECAST
9,11 527
TIERCE
9,11,4 6,611
TRIO
4,9,11 1,328
FIRST 4
4,8,9,11 5,361
QUARTET
9,11,4,8 102,796
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
10/9 480
10/11 43.5