Sha Tin · 2024-05-26 · 10:20
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-05-26 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HUGE WAVE, ridden by A Badel and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with NEVER TOO SOON second and RUBYLOT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite TOP GUN finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT 1.21.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 6 | 40.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 10 | 28.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | RUBYLOT Closed strongly K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 7 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | BEAUTY FIT E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | WINNING DATA B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 14 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 4 | 71.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | TOP GUN Led early K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 3.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly B2/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | NORTHERN BEACHES CP H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 12 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 9.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | SUPERB KID CP-/B1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 8.5 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 1 | BLUE MARLIN H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TOP GUN | 28.7% | 3.49 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 16.8% | 5.94 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | SUPERB KID | 13.2% | 7.59 | 13 |
| 4 | 10 | RUBYLOT | 9.6% | 10.37 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | WINNING DATA | 5.6% | 17.87 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 5.1% | 19.74 | 6 |
| 7 | 13 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 5.0% | 20.02 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | GALAXY WITNESS | 4.0% | 25.00 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | BEAUTY FIT | 3.6% | 27.40 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPREME AGILITY | 3.2% | 31.58 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | NEVER TOO SOON | 2.3% | 43.72 | 2 |
| 12 | 11 | HUGE WAVE | 1.6% | 61.85 | 1 |
| 13 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES | 1.3% | 77.10 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 404.5
PLACE
9 72.5
10 15
11 85.5
QUINELLA
9,11 4,495
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 162
9,11 1,116
10,11 211
FORECAST
11,9 7,420
TIERCE
11,9,10 38,924
TRIO
9,10,11 4,176
FIRST 4
9,10,11,12 13,178
QUARTET
11,9,10,12 438,888
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/9/9 15,028
1/9/11 72,430
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/9,10,11 153,099
9TH DOUBLE
9/9 107.5
9/11 532.5
SIX UP
1,7/9,11/1,3/1,4/1,9/9,11 43,682
1/11/1/1/9/11 1,999,256
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [K W Lui], 21 [Others] —