沙田 · 2024-05-26 · 10:20
第 10場
2024-05-26沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、K H Ting訓練的HUGE WAVE勝出，贏出3/4。NEVER TOO SOON獲得亞軍；RUBYLOT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門TOP GUN跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HUGE WAVE 後段發力 TT 1.21.54 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 6 | 40.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | NEVER TOO SOON 後段發力 K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 10 | 28.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | RUBYLOT 後段發力 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 7 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | BEAUTY FIT E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | WINNING DATA B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 14 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | BEAUTY CRESCENT 後段發力 TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPREME AGILITY 後段發力 M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 4 | 71.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | TOP GUN 早段領放 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 3.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | GALAXY WITNESS 後段發力 B2/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | NORTHERN BEACHES CP H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 12 | 30.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 9.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | SUPERB KID CP-/B1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 8.5 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 1 | BLUE MARLIN H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TOP GUN | 28.7% | 3.49 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 16.8% | 5.94 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | SUPERB KID | 13.2% | 7.59 | 13 |
| 4 | 10 | RUBYLOT | 9.6% | 10.37 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | WINNING DATA | 5.6% | 17.87 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 5.1% | 19.74 | 6 |
| 7 | 13 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 5.0% | 20.02 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | GALAXY WITNESS | 4.0% | 25.00 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | BEAUTY FIT | 3.6% | 27.40 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPREME AGILITY | 3.2% | 31.58 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | NEVER TOO SOON | 2.3% | 43.72 | 2 |
| 12 | 11 | HUGE WAVE | 1.6% | 61.85 | 1 |
| 13 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES | 1.3% | 77.10 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 404.5
PLACE
9 72.5
10 15
11 85.5
QUINELLA
9,11 4,495
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 162
9,11 1,116
10,11 211
FORECAST
11,9 7,420
TIERCE
11,9,10 38,924
TRIO
9,10,11 4,176
FIRST 4
9,10,11,12 13,178
QUARTET
11,9,10,12 438,888
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/9/9 15,028
1/9/11 72,430
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/9,10,11 153,099
9TH DOUBLE
9/9 107.5
9/11 532.5
SIX UP
1,7/9,11/1,3/1,4/1,9/9,11 43,682
1/11/1/1/9/11 1,999,256
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [K W Lui], 21 [Others] —