沙田 · 2024-05-26 · 09:05
第 8場
2024-05-26沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、C H Yip訓練的BRIGHT INHERITANCE勝出，贏出1/2。TALENTS AMBITION獲得亞軍；JOYFUL PROSPERITY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門CALIFORNIATOTALITY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE 後段發力 B 1.35.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 165.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | TALENTS AMBITION 後段發力 B/XB H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 14 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY 後段發力 CP K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 7.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 12 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | DARING PURSUIT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | MISTER DAPPER CP/XB H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | GOOD GOOD B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 53.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | NORTHERN BEAST M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | MARADO 後段發力 C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 9 | 62.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | CHILLI BABA V A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE 後段發力 CP-/TT2 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 5 | 84.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | SOARING BRONCO 早段領放 A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 11 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 8 | CIRCUIT FIERY Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 8.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | SMILING TIME V/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 44.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 18.8% | 5.31 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | MISTER DAPPER | 13.1% | 7.61 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 12.3% | 8.15 | 13 |
| 4 | 5 | DARING PURSUIT | 9.6% | 10.42 | 5 |
| 5 | 14 | CHILLI BABA | 9.6% | 10.45 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 9.4% | 10.65 | 3 |
| 7 | 13 | NORTHERN BEAST | 7.8% | 12.84 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | TALENTS AMBITION | 7.7% | 13.05 | 2 |
| 9 | 10 | SOARING BRONCO | 3.1% | 32.08 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | MARADO | 2.5% | 40.71 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | SMILING TIME | 2.3% | 42.77 | 14 |
| 12 | 9 | GOOD GOOD | 2.2% | 45.92 | 7 |
| 13 | 12 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 1.2% | 84.00 | 11 |
| 14 | 1 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 0.5% | 219.73 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 1,650
PLACE
1 307
4 43.5
11 27
QUINELLA
1,4 11,266
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 2,757
1,11 1,359
4,11 176
FORECAST
1,4 16,692
TIERCE
1,4,11 150,559
TRIO
1,4,11 17,955
FIRST 4
1,2,4,11 16,646
QUARTET
1,4,11,2 845,739
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/1,4,11 204,866
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 936.5
1/4 36