沙田 · 2024-07-01 · 08:02
第 1場
2024-07-01沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的AMAZING FUN勝出，贏出3/4。COLOURFUL WINNER獲得亞軍；CHEVAL VALIANT獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門DRAGON AIR FORCE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | AMAZING FUN H1/TT1 0.56.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | COLOURFUL WINNER M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 5 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | DRAGON AIR FORCE TT1 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 10 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | PERFECT GENERAL TT1 A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 2 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR B K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 4 | 9.2 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | LESS IS MORE TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 11 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | LOVING VIBES H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | MERCHANT PRINCE V/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 8 | 52.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | FORTUNE WARRIOR M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 3 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | SUPERSONIC XB/B1 B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 6 | 80.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT TT1 C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 12 | 90.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 14 | 4.1 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | SUPER TREASURE CP1 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 146.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | SPICY KNUCKLES · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | AMAZING FUN | 24.9% | 4.01 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 10.6% | 9.41 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR | 9.8% | 10.19 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | LOVING VIBES | 8.7% | 11.43 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | LESS IS MORE | 7.4% | 13.47 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 6.1% | 16.27 | 10 |
| 7 | 13 | SUPER AXIOM | 6.1% | 16.31 | 13 |
| 8 | 2 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 5.8% | 17.26 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 5.5% | 18.11 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | PERFECT GENERAL | 5.5% | 18.18 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 5.3% | 18.73 | 2 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER TREASURE | 1.9% | 52.15 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | MERCHANT PRINCE | 1.7% | 59.03 | 9 |
| 14 | 4 | SUPERSONIC | 0.4% | 229.07 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 154.5
PLACE
2 22
5 48
6 37
QUINELLA
5,6 909.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 185.5
2,6 161
5,6 296
FORECAST
5,6 1,946
TIERCE
5,6,2 10,736
TRIO
2,5,6 2,222
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 1,444
QUARTET
5,6,2,7 45,954