沙田 · 2024-07-01 · 10:07
第 5場
2024-07-01沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、W Y So訓練的PARTERRE勝出，贏出1/2。GIANT LEAP獲得亞軍；HAROLD WIN獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門LUCKY IMPACT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PARTERRE B 1.09.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 10 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | GIANT LEAP B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 14 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | HAROLD WIN XB/B1 A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 1 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY IMPACT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 3 | 2.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | FIRST LOVE M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 7 | 25.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | CHAMPION METHOD TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 4 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | SIGHT SUPREME PC-/B1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | WINNING HEART V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 63.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | TELECOM POWER B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 130.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | TELECOM DRAGON TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 13 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | PERFECTO MOMENTS CP1/TT- L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 57.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | MR MAESTRO B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 9 | 63.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | GRAND CONQUEROR B1/H1 B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 5 | 158.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | URBAN TRIUMPH CP/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 12 | 29.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HAROLD WIN | 17.1% | 5.83 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY IMPACT | 13.3% | 7.53 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | TELECOM DRAGON | 10.5% | 9.48 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | PARTERRE | 10.0% | 9.98 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | CHAMPION METHOD | 10.0% | 10.02 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | FIRST LOVE | 8.4% | 11.95 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | SIGHT SUPREME | 6.0% | 16.62 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | WINNING HEART | 5.7% | 17.42 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | URBAN TRIUMPH | 5.4% | 18.62 | 14 |
| 10 | 11 | GIANT LEAP | 4.6% | 21.68 | 2 |
| 11 | 8 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 4.4% | 22.78 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | MR MAESTRO | 3.3% | 30.76 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | TELECOM POWER | 0.7% | 135.72 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | GRAND CONQUEROR | 0.5% | 188.47 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 104.5
PLACE
1 26
6 15
11 46.5
QUINELLA
1,11 705.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 60.5
1,11 208.5
6,11 103.5
FORECAST
1,11 1,378
TIERCE
1,11,6 5,216
TRIO
1,6,11 554
FIRST 4
1,6,7,11 499
QUARTET
1,11,6,7 17,578
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
2/6/1 3,345
2/6/11 1,977
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,6/1,6,11 40,680
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 475
6/11 266