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Sha Tin · 2024-07-01 · 10:07

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PARTERRE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with GIANT LEAP second and HAROLD WIN third. The 2.6 favourite LUCKY IMPACT finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1.09.25
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 PARTERRE B 1.09.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · W Y So 10 10.0 1/2
2 11 GIANT LEAP B A Hamelin · P F Yiu 14 19.0 1/2
3 6 HAROLD WIN XB/B1 A Atzeni · K W Lui 1 3.9 3/4
4 7 LUCKY IMPACT H Bowman · F C Lor 3 2.6 1
5 5 FIRST LOVE M L Yeung · P C Ng 7 25.0 1-3/4
6 2 CHAMPION METHOD TT Y L Chung · C S Shum 4 5.3 2-1/2
7 9 SIGHT SUPREME PC-/B1 Z Purton · J Size 11 16.0 2-1/2
8 12 WINNING HEART V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 8 63.0 5
9 3 TELECOM POWER B K C Leung · Y S Tsui 2 130.0 5-1/2
10 4 TELECOM DRAGON TT C L Chau · C H Yip 13 20.0 5-1/2
11 8 PERFECTO MOMENTS CP1/TT- L Ferraris · K H Ting 6 57.0 6
12 10 MR MAESTRO B/XB/TT K Teetan · J Richards 9 63.0 7
13 13 GRAND CONQUEROR B1/H1 B Thompson · D J Hall 5 158.0 8
14 14 URBAN TRIUMPH CP/TT A Badel · W K Mo 12 29.0 14-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PARTERRE2. GIANT LEAP+0.5L3. HAROLD WIN+0.75L4. LUCKY IMPACT+1L5. FIRST LOVE+1.75L6. CHAMPION METHOD+2.5L7. SIGHT SUPREME+2.5L8. WINNING HEART+5L9. TELECOM POWER+5.5L10. TELECOM DRAGON+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick HAROLD WIN (17.1%) finished 3rd — the winner PARTERRE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 HAROLD WIN 17.1% 5.83 3
2 7 LUCKY IMPACT 13.3% 7.53 4
3 4 TELECOM DRAGON 10.5% 9.48 10
4 1 PARTERRE 10.0% 9.98 1
5 2 CHAMPION METHOD 10.0% 10.02 6
6 5 FIRST LOVE 8.4% 11.95 5
7 9 SIGHT SUPREME 6.0% 16.62 7
8 12 WINNING HEART 5.7% 17.42 8
9 14 URBAN TRIUMPH 5.4% 18.62 14
10 11 GIANT LEAP 4.6% 21.68 2
11 8 PERFECTO MOMENTS 4.4% 22.78 11
12 10 MR MAESTRO 3.3% 30.76 12
13 3 TELECOM POWER 0.7% 135.72 9
14 13 GRAND CONQUEROR 0.5% 188.47 13
HAROLD WINLUCKY IMPACTTELECOM DRAGONPARTERRE — wonCHAMPION METHODFIRST LOVESIGHT SUPREMEWINNING HEARTURBAN TRIUMPHGIANT LEAPPERFECTO MOMENTSMR MAESTROTELECOM POWERGRAND CONQUEROR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 104.5

PLACE

1 26

6 15

11 46.5

QUINELLA

1,11 705.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 60.5

1,11 208.5

6,11 103.5

FORECAST

1,11 1,378

TIERCE

1,11,6 5,216

TRIO

1,6,11 554

FIRST 4

1,6,7,11 499

QUARTET

1,11,6,7 17,578

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

2/6/1 3,345

2/6/11 1,977

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,6/1,6,11 40,680

4TH DOUBLE

6/1 475

6/11 266